June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike

[forkyfork]

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Every model agrees on a super ridge in the east. There's no way we're escaping this. Trust me I'd love nothing more. 

If this verifies someone is recording 110F. 

yeah this isn't a few hot days ahead of a cold front this is a legit heat dome

[WE GOT HIM]

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

yeah this isn't a few hot days ahead of a cold front this is a legit heat dome

Yeah forkey was calling it over a week ago on usersesh

[RedSky]

In the immortal words of Cheryl Lemke from the Weather Channel " your just gonna bake"

[TriPol]

48 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I tend to agree. We'll see. I think the message is that it will be hot with probably the hottest heatwave since 2010. Maybe we are locked into at least 5 consecutive days of mid 90s+. And I would look for the hottest days to top out probably between 102-104 if we do in fact exceed 100. Lots of time for the 100s to become unraveled here. It can all be messed up with backdoor fronts, onshore winds, or thunderstorms.

WX/PT

The only way for those temps to verify is if there's almost ZERO humidity. I've never seen 100 degrees and 90% humidity in NYC.

[Sundog]

We're all gonna die 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, qg_omega said:

Seek help and stop posting asap

I would gladly give you electroshock therapy and love the smell of your last few brain cells burning to a crisp, shall we begin?

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

Euro now has 107 degrees next Tuesday in NYC.

this is absolutely awesome and would completely nuke any and all moisture here

[LibertyBell]

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

We're all gonna die 

you people whine too much, millions of people live under 120 degree temperatures.

2 foot snowstorms kill more people than what passes for *heat* here

[LibertyBell]

21 minutes ago, TriPol said:

The only way for those temps to verify is if there's almost ZERO humidity. I've never seen 100 degrees and 90% humidity in NYC.

the humidity will be under 50 percent

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I tend to agree. We'll see. I think the message is that it will be hot with probably the hottest heatwave since 2010. Maybe we are locked into at least 5 consecutive days of mid 90s+. And I would look for the hottest days to top out probably between 102-104 if we do in fact exceed 100. Lots of time for the 100s to become unraveled here. It can all be messed up with backdoor fronts, onshore winds, or thunderstorms.

WX/PT

I doubt it will be as hot as 2011 was, you don't see that kind of heat in June.

If it touches 100 like 2012 and 2013 that alone would be historic, but 2011 was 103-108 which is out of range for what's possible in June.

[Sundog]

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

you people whine too much, millions of people live under 120 degree temperatures.

2 foot snowstorms kill more people than what passes for *heat* here

I don't trust CONED to keep the lights on

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said:

Really might want to be check for diabetes and get a relative humidity sensor. Warm air holds more moisture so heating this time of year will allow indoor air to become more moist. Mold is not killed by 85 degree heat. It is killed by sunlight and lack of moisture. So unless you are UVing the room, that heat won’t be killing it. You also should not have mold in a properly build house, so that should be remediated. Diabetes also makes the body feel cooler than it is. Sleep experts all recommend sleeping below 68 degrees. 

I've been this way since I was little, I love hot rooms just like anyone who likes a sauna and/or hot tub.

The heat I use is electric heat (a space heater) it removes moisture from the air, when I use it my Thermo-Hygro sensors record a humidity drop of about 10% (55% to 45%).

The mold is unfortunately in the heating pipes, which is steam heat.  I don't use that this time of year, that's set to 62.  I use my electric space heater which stops the allergies.

 

[LibertyBell]

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I don't trust CONED to keep the lights on

They are a very corrupt company it's true.

The operative part of their name is CON

[LibertyBell]

4 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

I dont think its good in anyway - cash in on near term sun vs mid/long range projected sun/heat any day of the week.  I do think while it may rain/storms we will get some sun each of the Wed-Thu and Fri period s.

anything would be much better than this past weekend and today.  I had to do some work in other parts of the house which are cool/moist and was sneezing like crazy.  As soon as I got back to my 88 degree bedroom with now 43% humidity my sneezing went away.

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

These WNW flow heat events are where we really roast and heights are absurdly high. We’ll see if that verifies (107 is likely too high but could definitely be 100+ if we get the downslope WNW flow) or it becomes our more typical southerly flow FL type heat. 

I'm really excited about this for us on the south shore and really low humidity like 2010 too!!

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

MAX temps are probably around 110F because that map is the temperature at 2PM, I have no doubt with that type of flow we would get daytime highs a couple hours later. 

No, historically on these extreme heat days we peak out between noon and 2 PM, this has been my experience with what happened in 1993, 1999, 2010, 2011.

When it gets extremely hot cumulus clouds billow up, even if there is no sea breeze.

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

106 in the park, but the park will record 99F

I hope JFK gets to 104

 

[LibertyBell]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

Euro has 107F, 105F, and 108F next Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday lol.

Here is Thursday:

sounds like July 1993

I highly doubt that kind of heat is possible in June

subtract 10 degrees from that

 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

Every model agrees on a super ridge in the east. There's no way we're escaping this. Trust me I'd love nothing more. 

If this verifies someone is recording 110F. 

Just don't believe this is possible in June, do you know it's never been hotter than 101 in June in NYC (1966)?

I go with climate history over fringe models.

I think we could hit 100 on one day, but that's it. 

[Sundog]

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Just don't believe this is possible in June, do you know it's never been hotter than 101 in June in NYC (1966)?

I go with climate history over fringe models.

I think we could hit 100 on one day, but that's it. 

If that ridge and that flow verifies, it's going way above 101. 

We were overdue our super heat blast that practically every other place on Earth has already experienced in this new abysmal climate. 

 

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

If that ridge and that flow verifies, it's going way above 101. 

We were overdue our super heat blast that practically every other place on Earth has already experienced in this new abysmal climate. 

 

For us the new climate is rainy, humid, elevated mins and highs that have flatlined in the upper 80s and low 90s during the summer anyway.

 

[Sundog]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

For us the new climate is rainy, humid, elevated mins and highs that have flatlined in the upper 80s and low 90s during the summer anyway.

 

Not every place experiences climate change the same way, indeed.  

But when the stars align (which is always going to be rare but the odds go up) we can break our all time record highs.

[LibertyBell]

4 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Not every place experiences climate change the same way, indeed.  

But when the stars align (which is always going to be rare but the odds go up) we can break our all time record highs.

let's see if it happens, but this is like the forecast for January 2015 to me (you know which storm I mean lol, the one the Euro predicted us getting 38 inches of snow lol).

January 2016 I found more believable because it was during a super el nino, but January 2015 not so much.

It's going to be extremely hot no doubt, but I think a range of 98-101 is more likely than 102-108.

 

[rclab]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

yeah this isn't a few hot days ahead of a cold front this is a legit heat dome

 

56 minutes ago, RedSky said:

In the immortal words of Cheryl Lemke from the Weather Channel " your just gonna bake"

 

39 minutes ago, Sundog said:

We're all gonna die 

 

36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

this is absolutely awesome and would completely nuke any and all moisture here

 

34 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I don't trust CONED to keep the lights on

 

24 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I hope JFK gets to 104

 

17 minutes ago, Sundog said:

If that ridge and that flow verifies, it's going way above 101. 

We were overdue our super heat blast that practically every other place on Earth has already experienced in this new abysmal climate. 

 

37 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

you people whine too much, millions of people live under 120 degree temperatures.

2 foot snowstorms kill more people than what passes for *heat* here

 Please don’t rile her up. Enjoying the present with hope for the future, as always …..

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

yeah this isn't a few hot days ahead of a cold front this is a legit heat dome

CC infused heat dome. Our version of what the Pac NW experienced? The signs are downright scary. 

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

CC infused heat dome. Our version of what the Pac NW experienced? The signs are downright scary. 

Got to go with climate history with whats possible here. If you get more be prepared but no reason to go into uncharted territory yet. CC has not proven itself able to give us that kind of extreme high in the summer yet.

 

 

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

Got to go with climate history with whats possible here. If you get more be prepared but no reason to go into uncharted territory yet. CC has not proven itself able to give us that kind of extreme high in the summer yet.

 

 

Right now I'd go with 100-104F max but there's higher potential if models give amping this heat dome. 

[LibertyBell]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Right now I'd go with 100-104F max but there's higher potential if models give amping this heat dome. 

100 would be downright historic, especially for NYC and JFK.

 

[Sundog]

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Got to go with climate history with whats possible here. If you get more be prepared but no reason to go into uncharted territory yet. CC has not proven itself able to give us that kind of extreme high in the summer yet.

 

 

CC has made us more damp and with onshore flow which caps max temps, but that doesn't mean the potential isn't there for us to set all time highs when we finally get a super ridge with a downsloping flow. 

Yes usually we just have higher dews and minimums, but the atmosphere is loaded and ready to go when we finally get the major heat ridge with the right wind direction. 

[LibertyBell]

Just now, Sundog said:

CC has made us more damp and with onshore flow which caps max temps, but that doesn't mean the potential isn't there for us to set all time highs when we finally get a super ridge with a downsloping flow. 

Yes usually we just have higher dews and minimums, but the atmosphere is loaded and ready to go when we finally get the major heat ridge with the right wind direction. 

I think 100 is definitely possible in June.  I wouldn't go as far as July 2011 temperatures just yet though (which were 103-108).  Let's say 98-102 as a range for now.  I definitely want all of us to hit 100 (including the south shore.)