dwagner88 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 On 6/28/2025 at 5:13 PM, John1122 said: It's been incredible to see how the rain and storms have danced around my area this week. Only caught a few passing sprinkles as storms fired close and died out as they reached me. The high rain chances for today and tomorrow have faded too. Same thing down here. I watched the storms pop up in the same areas three days in a row. Never rained more than a few drops IMBY. Some parts of town got 4"+ and flooding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 6 hours ago, dwagner88 said: Same thing down here. I watched the storms pop up in the same areas three days in a row. Never rained more than a few drops IMBY. Some parts of town got 4"+ and flooding. Happened again yesterday. A very heavy shower a mile or two away and nothing here. Today a storm has popped up a couple miles north of me. Loud thunder but unlikely to rain it appears. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 4th of July front is a couple days early this year, but yes it seems almost obligatory recently. Could be hot again on the 4th though. On 6/27/2025 at 10:18 PM, Matthew70 said: Seems the past few years there has been a fropa come thru right before the 4th to make it very comfortable to watch the fireworks at night. Maybe this year is the same. While temps will be above normal Friday through early next week, the humidify will not be what it was last week. I call it hot but not a bad heat wave. Starting around July 10 temps may settle to seasonable (hot but doable). PNA and GWO are friendly to the Southeast. Two paths are offered. CFS is weak heights Great Lakes, but Texas ridge could pulse into the Mid-South at times. Euro is AN heights North which can sometimes ooze South. Either pattern is friendly for less sustained heat here, perhaps even normal temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 Blanked again. I think that's 5 days in a row of 60% or better POP's and only 0.06 total to show for it. I guess I start watering the lawn tomorrow. First time this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 The Split was real on Tuesday. However, MBY did fine the previous several days. After the hot temps July 4-8/9 the benign weather pattern is still forecast for a good chunk of July. Forecast looks seasonably hot but temps not much if any above normal. Greater anomalies should be north. CFS has the GL mild but it's an outlier. EC and GEFS weeklies have a hot Midwest, but that's OK. AN heights north leaves ours near normal, which will allow scattered pm t-storms. The latter two weekly products also line up with most teleconnections. Very end of July is still up in the air. The PNA pattern may get stale by then which would let in more heat, but not necessarily for long. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 Point Barrow, AK, is cold next week. Yes, I do follow the weather there. It sometimes can give a hint of things to come. If cold builds their early - good thing. Highs in the mid to low 30s next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 I wound up having 3 storms roll over my house and got 3.12" yesterday. That is more than I received during the entire month of June (2.72"). My yard was starting to bake in the Summer heat but this should help it out for at least a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted July 2 Author Share Posted July 2 22 hours ago, dwagner88 said: Blanked again. I think that's 5 days in a row of 60% or better POP's and only 0.06 total to show for it. I guess I start watering the lawn tomorrow. First time this year. I ended up with .24 inches this whole last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 I managed to find my way to Mammoth Lakes last week and part of this week. We saw it snow at 10k’ as a thunderstorm complex dropped temps like a rock while we were hiking. We had temps in the low 40s. The mountain range to our east had new snowfall the next morning. Crazy how the weather behaves at high elevation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 oh thats interesting carvers gap woah that is pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Monday at 08:47 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 08:47 PM Wondering if it's going to be another week of rain all around me but not here like the last high chance week. Today it's going that way. It's been thundering since 2pm all around me but not a drop of rain yet. One of the strangest patterns I've ever seen, because the pop-up storms are so small. Just 3 or 4 miles wide in most cases. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Monday at 09:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:08 PM yes john we are apparently supposed to get a lot of rain chances this week in this unsettled pattern with percentages really increasing by a lot by mid week and starting today and tomorrow according to reading my afds from meg ohx mrx and hun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Tuesday at 12:02 AM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 12:02 AM Got about ten minutes of a shower it turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Tuesday at 10:48 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:48 PM The miss miss miss pattern with rain from last week is holding strong again this week with 60 percent rain coverage being closer to 10 percent in reality. Only the extremely rainy May is keeping me from drought conditions. It's rained about .25 inches in the last three weeks. I truly hope that changes before long, if not, it's going to be a long fire season in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Tuesday at 11:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:18 PM every little bit of rain helps at least thankful for that at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted Thursday at 12:26 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:26 AM I still can't buy a raindrop here. Strangely, my only real rain the past three weeks came on a day with zero chance of it. I got a random shower that dropped 0.15" on Sunday. Nothing before and nothing since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Thursday at 12:35 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:35 AM dont worry dwagner88 im sure youll win the rain lottery (wattery) soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Thursday at 01:47 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 01:47 AM Mostly misses again today but it rained for about 20 minutes around 4 and it's raining now. Looks like Johnson City got swamped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Thursday at 02:21 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 02:21 AM This shower has finally been actully heavy and it's been going for around 40 minutes now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KakashiHatake2000 Posted Thursday at 02:38 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:38 AM gotcha and oh nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted yesterday at 04:39 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:39 AM Had another heavy shower today. It rained .3 inches in about ten minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM Another major thunder event with no rain underway right now, as the second storm of the day developed a few miles S of my area. All the loud thunder and none of the rain, so far. I'm not sure why these storms are so small in area. Every day here they are just 3 or 4 miles across, and they rain very hard where they hit but fizzle out a few minutes later. In all my days of watching popup summer storms I don't ever remember this many that were so small in size, day after day. They usually blossom up and cover nearly a whole county. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jed33 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Finally and I do mean finally picked up a great rain this morning. I had been missing out on most of the good rains for awhile as well. This morning though, a storm just blew up out of nowhere around 9 and it just dumped for about an hour. Picked up 2.1in total, most of that fell in about 30 min. It’s literally been close to a year since we had that kind of rain that fast at my house, and it’s not rained that much total in one day this year until now. We’ve had some 1inch or so days but not above 2 until now. Thankful for sure! I hope everyone else that has missed out gets some good rain soon! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Finally getting a truly heavy heavy storm myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 1.2 inches from that storm in about 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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