Spring 2025 Med/Long Range Discussion

[dwagner88]

On 6/28/2025 at 5:13 PM, John1122 said:

It's been incredible to see how the rain and storms have danced around my area this week. Only caught a few passing sprinkles as storms fired close and died out as they reached me. The high rain chances for today and tomorrow have faded too. 

Same thing down here. I watched the storms pop up in the same areas three days in a row. Never rained more than a few drops IMBY. Some parts of town got 4"+ and flooding.

[John1122]

6 hours ago, dwagner88 said:

Same thing down here. I watched the storms pop up in the same areas three days in a row. Never rained more than a few drops IMBY. Some parts of town got 4"+ and flooding.

Happened again yesterday. A very heavy shower a mile or two away and nothing here. Today a storm has popped up a couple miles north of me. Loud thunder but unlikely to rain it appears. 

[nrgjeff]

4th of July front is a couple days early this year, but yes it seems almost obligatory recently. Could be hot again on the 4th though.

On 6/27/2025 at 10:18 PM, Matthew70 said:

Seems the past few years there has been a fropa come thru right before the 4th to make it very comfortable to watch the fireworks at night.  Maybe this year is the same.  

While temps will be above normal Friday through early next week, the humidify will not be what it was last week. I call it hot but not a bad heat wave. 

Starting around July 10 temps may settle to seasonable (hot but doable). PNA and GWO are friendly to the Southeast. Two paths are offered. CFS is weak heights Great Lakes, but Texas ridge could pulse into the Mid-South at times. Euro is AN heights North which can sometimes ooze South. Either pattern is friendly for less sustained heat here, perhaps even normal temps.

[dwagner88]

Blanked again. I think that's 5 days in a row of 60% or better POP's and only 0.06 total to show for it. I guess I start watering the lawn tomorrow. First time this year.