WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: GFS still on steroids. I wouldnt totally discount it. It does pretty well with northern stream (well it used to) Looks like there is a consensus that northeast North Carolina and the Tidewater will score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago This got a link? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 24 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: This got a link? . https://www.facebook.com/share/1D7b64ohYo/?mibextid=wwXIfr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago HRRR keeps the trend going at 0z for the shortwave to dig further west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, BooneWX said: HRRR keeps the trend going at 0z for the shortwave to dig further west. Tonight's NAM is going to be very interesting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Tonight's NAM is going to be very interesting I’ll be first to admit that I wrote this one off early, but a couple more tweaks and it’s a legitimately big deal for a large part of this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Need it to continue digging west (and south) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago This is gonna be a weenie HRRR run for northern Piedmont 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Look if it needs to happen… we can meet up in winston salem… and we can sacrifice something from every county in NC. Maybe then the pattern will be in our favor since we sent gifts from all across NC to mother nature.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, WiseWeather said: Look if it needs to happen… we can meet up in winston salem… and we can sacrifice something from every county in NC. Maybe then the pattern will be in our favor since we sent gifts from all across NC to mother nature. . I'll drive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Not a great surface depiction but it was undeniably better under the hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago Just now, BooneWX said: Not a great surface depiction but it was undeniably better under the hood Its so close to something decent for a lot of NC. Just a couple tweaks 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NAM… sharper, further south and west 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Huntsville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Surface depiction for the NAM is very similar to 18z, but again, it’s another model that looks improved under the hood. The ridge out west keeps trending taller, helping the shortwave drop a bit further before it scoots east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Hi Res NAM is pretty nice for the mountains 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Aleet aleet! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Aleet aleet! More coverage for sure! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Best Hi Res NAM run yet.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Much more expansive on 3k geez. Just a hair, and I mean jusssst a hair more digging and we have a Murphy to Manteo 2-4” event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Hi Res GFS looks odd but shows the potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Much more expansive on 3k geez. Just a hair, and I mean jusssst a hair more digging and we have a Murphy to Manteo 2-4” event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Looking at the 12k, I think we can toss the surface depiction. Play the loop quickly. Something is wrong - likely some sort of feedback issue. I thought it was picking up on some convective nuances with the splotchiness but it actually just looks like it spazzes out and glitches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago All of this is really good considering the NAM can also be biased towards the low end of QPF in the long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Looking at the 12k, I think we can toss the surface depiction. Play the loop quickly. Something is wrong - likely some sort of feedback issue. I thought it was picking up on some convective nuances with the splotchiness but it actually just looks like it spazzes out and glitches. That's what I said when I saw it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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