2025 forecast contests -- enter for October 2025 contest (deadline 06z October 1st)

[Roger Smith]

=== ::: [] <<<<<<< Annual Scoring for Jan-Aug 2025 >>>>>>> [] ::: ===

... not yet updated for September, check back after 06z October 2nd for complete updated annual contest scoring, you may find partial edits before that ...

... in the version now posted, below Sep scoring, annual TOTALS only are updated, none of the other entries in the scoring rows are updated yet, except for consensus and Tom. The best scores and extreme scoring logs have been updated. Work proceeds to finish the scoring updates. 

 

Scotty Lightning ________66 _ 92_ 98 _256 _60 _80_ 94 _234_ 514 _ 78 _ 90 _80 _248 __762

Roger Smith ____________ 76 _ 92_98_ 266 _70_80_ 94 _244 _ 534 _ 58 _80_ 90 _228 __762

hudsonvalley21 _________90 _ 68 _ 76 _234 _28 _60 _ 80 _168 _402 _88_100_100 _288__690

yoda ____________________90 _ 66 _ 70 _226 _48 _68 _ 96 _212_ 438 _ 72 _92 _76 _ 240__ 678

RJay ____________________94 _ 74 _ 84 _252 _50 _50 _ 98 _198_ 450 _ 58 _80 _86 _224__ 674

___ Consensus _________100_ 66 _ 76 _242 _28 _50 _ 94 _172 _416 _ 78 _92 _92 _262__678

 ___ Normal _____________ 96 _ 72 _82 _250 _ 40 _50 _ 76 _ 166_ 416 _98 _80_70 _248__ 664

so_whats_happening ____98 _ 72 _ 86 _256 _46 _40 _66 _152 _ 408 _ 74 _92 _96 _262__ 670

wxallannj _______________100 _ 64 _ 76 _240 _24 _54 _ 86_ 164_ 404_ 88 _ 90 _80 _258__662

DonSutherland1 _________92 _ 70 _ 82 _244 _48 _56 _ 92 _196_ 440 _ 62 _86 _66 _214__ 654

BKViking ________________ 66 _ 30 _ 46 _142 _00 _40 _ 68 _108 _250 _78 _84 _78 _240 __490

RodneyS ________________ 58 _ 54 _ 66 _178 _00 _04 _ 94 _098 _276 _92 _90 _94 _276 __552

wxdude64 ______________ 54 _ 40 _ 60 _154 _00 _34 _ 86 _120 _ 274 _ 90 _94 _92 _276 __550

StormchaserChuck1 _____52 _ 32 _ 50 _134 _00 _34 _ 74 _108 _242 _ 88 _88 _70 _248 __490 

============

___ Persistence __________32 _ 26 _ 40 _098 _30 _10 _ 90 _130 _228 _ 80 _44 _98 _222 __450

 

FORECASTER _____DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH _ cent _ c/e __ DEN_PHX_SEA__west __TOTALS

 

___ Consensus ______ 489 _560 _574__1623__ 516 _572 _550__1638 _3261 __545 _572_650__1767 ___5716

Tom __________________ 605 _630 _676 __1911 __550 _552 _658__1760 _3671 __686 _658 _684__2028___5699

hudsonvalley21 ______ 465 _554 _598 __1617 __466 _522 _567 __ 1555 __3172 __552 _534 _638__1724__5586

so_whats_happening __525 _590 _542 __1657 __504 _586 _509__1599__3256 __532 _490 _630__1652__5578

Scotty Lightning ______532 _564 _520 __1616 __427 _446 _570 __1443 _ 3059 __519 _612 _618 __1749___5570

RJay _________________ 446 _567 _ 575__1588 __538 _598 _540__1676 _3264 __471 _471 _545__1487___5425 

DonSutherland1 ______ 437 _508 _542 __1487 __512 _540 _490__1542 _3029 __583 _530 _624__1737___5420

wxallannj _____________ 415 _490 _516 __1421 __490 _500 _532__1522 _ 2943 __546 _564 _599 __1709___5314

RodneyS _____________ 494 _506 _562 __1562 __394 _468 _482__1344 _2906 __469 _502 _728__1699___5157

Roger Smith __________422 _492 _496 __1410  __492 _490 _490__1476 _2886 __390 _524 _583__ 1497___5145

wxdude64 ____________442 _502 _500 __1444 __430_ 508 _494__1432 _2876__ 563 _552 _592__1707___5133

StormchaserChuck ___507 _550 _550 __1607 __414 _580 _ 447__1441 _ 3048 __ 517 _524 _527__1568___5106

___ Normal ____________432 _504 _504 __1440 __418 _336 _329__1083__2523__550 _466 _596__ 1612___4799

BKViking (7/9) _______ 300 _373 _393 __1066 __378 _446 _356__1180 _ 2246 __398 _396 _419__1213___3949

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __5078

maxim (2/9) __________ 180 _ 152 _164 __ 496 ___ 96_ 120 _ 082 __298__ 794 __92 _ 90 _ 135__ 317 ____ 1111 

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __5000

Yoda _(2/9) ____________004 _044 _040 __ 088 __ 76 _ 42 _ 92 __ 210 ___ 298 __ 96 _ 56 _ 92 ___ 244 ___1220

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- prorated total __5490

Persistence ___________288 _404 _520 __1212 ___256 _334 _476 _1066 _2278__390 _418 _538 __1346 ___4074

 

____________________________
________________________________

 

__ Best scores __ (updated for Sep)

 

^ incl tied for best score 

* incl 3 - 5 tied for best score

____________________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_cent__c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west__TOTALS

Tom ___________________2 *__ 1^ _ 2 ___1 ___ 2 ___2^ __2^___1 ___1 ___ 0 __ 2 ___2^___2 ___2 __ Mar,Jun

___ Consensus _______ 2*__ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___ 0  __0 __ 1  __ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___0 ___0

hudsonvalley21 ________ 1 *__ 2^__2 ___1 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 2^ ___0 __ 0 ___2^^__ 1 __ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0

so_whats_happening __ 1 *__ 1 __ 0 ___0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___1 ___ 2^__ 1^ __ 1 ___2 ___ 0

Scotty Lightning _______ 3^*__1^__ 1^___0 ___ 0 __1^__ 3 ___ 0 __0 ___ 0 __ 3*___1 ___1 ____1 _Sep(t)

RJay ___________________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___ 2^__1^__ 2^^__3 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1*__ 1^___0 ___ 0

Don Sutherland 1 _______1 *__ 1^__ 1*__ 0 ___ 0 __1 ___0 ___ 0 __0 ___ 1 __ 1^ __ 0 ___0 ___ 0

wxallannj _______________1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1^ __ 1^__0 ___0 ____0

RodneyS _______________ 1 __ 1 __ 1 ___ 1 ____ 1 __ 2^ __1^ __ 2 ___ 2 ___1 __ 1 ___ 4^___1 ____2 _ May,Aug

Roger Smith ____________1^ __3^^__2^ __2 ___3 ___3^^__2^^__ 1 ___2 ___0 __ 1^__ 0 ___1 ____3 _ Feb,Jul,Sep(t)

wxdude64 ______________1 __ 2^__ 1*___2 ___ 0 __0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 2 ___0 __0___ 0 ____1 _ Jan

StormchaserChuck _____1 __ 1^__ 1 ____2 ___ 1^__ 1 ___1 ___ 0 ___1 ___ 0 ___0 __ 1^___ 1 ____0 _Apr

BKViking _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___ 0 __ 1 ___0 ___ 2 __ 1 ____1 ___ 1*__0 ___0 ___0

___ Normal ______________ 1 __ 2 ___0 ___0 ___ 1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___ 2 __ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ____0

maxim __________________ 1 __ 0 __ 1* ___0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___1 ___ 1 __ 0 ___1 ___ 0

==============================

(tie for Consensus or Normal is not a tie for forecaster(s)) 

 

Extreme forecasts  _ updated for Sep

So far, 46 of 81 ... 23 for warmest and 23 for coldest ... Jan 1-4, Feb 1-4, Mar 5-0, Apr 6-0, May 2-6, Jun 1-1, Jul 1-1, Aug 1-6 and Sep 5-1.

 

Forecaster ____________ Jan _Feb _Mar _Apr _May _Jun_Jul _Aug __ Total___adj for ties (*2 tied, ^3 tied)

 

Rodney S ______________ 2-1 _1*-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _3*0 _0-1_0-0 _4-0 _1-0 __11-2 ___10.0 - 2.0

Roger Smith ___________ 0-0 _3-1 _ 0-1 _ 1*0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _1*-0_1*-0_4^-0__12-2___8.0 - 2.0

___ Normal _____________ 1-0 _0-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 2-0 _0-1 _1-0 __2-0 _1-0 __ 7-2 ___ 7.0 - 2.0

Scotty Lightning _______ 1-0 _0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0_0-0_ 0-1 _3^-0 __8-1 ____ 6.5 - 1.0

hudsonvalley21 _________1*-0 _0-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 1-1 _ 0-0_ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 __4-1 ___3.5 - 0.0

Stormchaser Chuck ____ 0-0 _0-0 _0-1 _ 4*-2 _0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 __4-3 ___ 3.5 - 3.0

maxim __________________1^-0_0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _ 0-0 __3-0 ___ 2.33-0.0

Tom ____________________0-0 _0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 2*0 _ 0-0_0-0 _0-0_1*-0 __ 4-0 ___ 3.0 - 0.0

wxdude64 ______________1^-0_ 0-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0_0-0 __1-0 _0-1 __ 3-1 ____2.33-1.0

RJay ____________________0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _2**-0_0-0 _ 0-0_1 *-0_0-0_1*-0 _ 4-0 ___ 2.0-0.0

so_whats_happening ___ 1*-0 _1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __0-0_1-0 __0-0 _0-0__3-0 ___ 2.0 - 0.0

Don Sutherland _________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0_0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __2-0 ____1.33-0.0

BKViking _______________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 __1-0 ____1.0 - 0.0

wxallannj _______________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _1*-0_0-0__1-0 ___ 0.5 - 0.0

^ (note: For Sep wins, Roger Smith and Scotty Lightning tied three, not shown by * symbols

but calculated into adjusted scores)

=========================================================

 

 

[Scotty Lightning]

October!

 

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

1.5       1.0      1.0      1.0     1.5     1.5       0.5     1.0     0.5 

 

[wxdude64]

On vacation, luckily remembered to do this today on wife's computer (didn't bring mine). Bad thing is 1-took a while to remember the website log-in and 2-couldn't remember my password. FINALLY got in, lol. 

OK numbers for October

DCA: +0.6

NYC: +0.7

BOS: +0.3

ORD: -0.2

ATL:  +0.8

IAH: +0.5

DEN: -0.4

PHX: -0.2

SEA: +0.7

[Ephesians2]

DCA +4.3
NYC +3.8
BOS +3.5

ORD: +5.4

ATL: +4.0

IAH: +3.6

DEN: +1.0

PHX: +1.3

SEA: -0.5

[hudsonvalley21]

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

 2.1      2.1       2.1      3.2     1.2     1.8       2.1     1.9     0.2  

[wxallannj]

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

 2.3     2.4      2.5      2.0     1.8     2.3     1.0      0.7     0.4  

[Tom]

DCA: +1.5

NYC: +1.6

BOS: +1.6

ORD: +2.8

ATL:  +1.5

IAH: +1.1

DEN: +1.2

PHX: +1.1

SEA: +0.5

[donsutherland1]

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

2.5      2.6    2.5      5.4    1.7     1.7        3.2    2.6     0.2 

[Roger Smith]

3.5 _ 4.0 _ 4.3 _ 5.2 _ 3.5 _ 3.5 _ 2.0 _ 2.0 _ 1.2

[RodneyS]

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

0.1       1.7      1.6      3.8     0.6    3.0      1.6     0.6     0.9 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Oops.. 1 hour late

DCA: +3.2

NYC: +3.5

BOS: +3.5

ORD: +5.7

ATL:  +2.9

IAH: +2.5

DEN: +0.5

PHX: +0.2

SEA: 0.0

[so_whats_happening]

Oh boy a few hours late sorry

DCA _NYC _BOS _ ORD _ATL _IAH __ DEN _PHX _SEA

+2     +2.3   +2.4   +3.5   +1.6  +2.1    +1.4     +1    +1.6

[yoda]

Just got off night shift... so a bit late as well

 

DCA: +1.8

NYC: +1.4

BOS: +1.3

ORD: +2.5

ATL:  +1.7

IAH: +1.8

DEN: +1.3

PHX: +1.9

SEA: +0.3