Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[JB Fins]

17 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

GEFS was great FWIW 

Yes, looks like the bleeding may have stopped.  Just a tick south.

Fingers crossed for a trend or at least locking in.

Just don’t want a PDII redux as I have those vibes, we only ended up with 3-5”’of concrete.

 

[mikeeng92]

5 hours ago, RVASnowLover said:

AI EURO still looks great so there’s that 

Huge to have this model still look good. 
 

 

[RVASnowLover]

We’ll see what models show today but as of now, snow to ice seems likely for RIC.  Question is how much snow before the changeover 

6z euro looks south but it’s still snow to ice 

[jlewis1111]

12z models today has always been the real time to start looking at the storm. Lets hope things trend back south but doubt it

[jlewis1111]

11 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

We’ll see what models show today but as of now, snow to ice seems likely for RIC.  Question is how much snow before the changeover 

6z euro looks south but it’s still snow to ice 

yup euro went from 20 here in midlo to now 5 not good

[Ephesians2]

Hugging the GEFS... 

[RVASnowLover]

33 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

12z models today has always been the real time to start looking at the storm. Lets hope things trend back south but doubt it

Hopefully we see some positive trends today. 

[Hyphnx]

21 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

Hopefully we see some positive trends today. 

Looking like Ice might be on the table at 12z

[RVASnowLover]

6 minutes ago, Hyphnx said:

Looking like Ice might be on the table at 12z

At this point i definitely think we get some ice. Question is how much snow before the changeover? Euro is by far the most amped solution. Will it adjust any at 12z? 

[Conway7305]

6z Euro ticked south a hair 

[Conway7305]

Good Read

https://x.com/_jwall/status/2013924395425624230?s=46

[Conway7305]

Stronger High Pressure over Montana (1039) has positive downstream effects on 6z Euro. See a small shift south from 0z. Bleeding hopefully has stopped maybe a trend south again?  

[RVASnowLover]

8 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Good Read

https://x.com/_jwall/status/2013924395425624230?s=46

If we’re going to see a south shift it needs to happen soon. 

[nw baltimore wx]

22 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

If we’re going to see a south shift it needs to happen soon. 

You all probably saw this in the main thread last night, but it was reputably posted that recon flights over the Pacific will be putting in data to tonight's 0z runs.  

[RVASnowLover]

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

You all probably saw this in the main thread last night, but it was reputably posted that recon flights over the Pacific will be putting in data to tonight's 0z runs.  

Thanks! Models will then start to have a better handle of the setup. Still hoping for some improvements at 12z. 

[nw baltimore wx]

1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said:

Thanks! Models will then start to have a better handle of the setup. Still hoping for some improvements at 12z. 

It sounds like they should, but it also sounds like the northern stream data may not be as well sampled until the arctic high gets over the conus later tomorrow.  I could be entirely wrong about that, but reading that WPC statement tells me that it's too early to throw in the towel.

[eaglesin2011]

Let’s hope that South trend continues.. I’m going out to get a generator today (if they aren’t already gone) just in case… Unfortunately where I am the power lines are not buried underground so good chance the power goes out even if it’s just a big snow

[RVASnowLover]

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

It sounds like they should, but it also sounds like the northern stream data may not be as well sampled until the arctic high gets over the conus later tomorrow.  I could be entirely wrong about that, but reading that WPC statement tells me that it's too early to throw in the towel.

I read where they are a little skeptical of this north trend and are waiting to see if models trend south today