Wx 24/7 Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Wound up with just under 4" here in Monett... temps never did get above freezing, but did get to 31. Models were just off enough to keep us under that magic number. Looks like the pattern flips cold again -- hope we get a few more clippers that sneak up on us in the next couple of weeks. There seem to be some signals for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Close to 3" here. The back end gave us some heavy shower activity the past couple hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Wx 24/7 said: Wound up with just under 4" here in Monett... temps never did get above freezing, but did get to 31. Models were just off enough to keep us under that magic number. Looks like the pattern flips cold again -- hope we get a few more clippers that sneak up on us in the next couple of weeks. There seem to be some signals for that. -EPO looks to persist. In time, it may shift more to the NW, which would cause the eastern trough to retrograde back west. Tough to time any individual systems that may form though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 edit( Just ended snowing ). We have around 1 - 1/2 " maybe 2" . Hard to measure with the melting affecting some areas more than others . But anyway I got to watch it snow for several hours 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Went out for a hike at night, just stopped flurrying here. In the woods where the fireball doesn't hit much probly 5" of snow! Here in the yards up in treeless areas, 3" after the temps warmed up in the afternoon and compacted it all down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 And that's all she wrote. Got 3" officially here in east Fayetteville. Measured in 4 different spots to verify. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Looking forward, it looks as if there may be something next weekend, but the models are pretty scattered on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 16, 2022 Share Posted January 16, 2022 Since there’s nothing much to talk about take a look at hr 84 of the 18z NAM. Significant snow moving into Western KS and the OK panhandle. EDIT: No other models show this. CMC has a minor something. Other models are zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2022 Author Share Posted January 16, 2022 1 hour ago, The Waterboy said: Since there’s nothing much to talk about take a look at hr 84 of the 18z NAM. Significant snow moving into Western KS and the OK panhandle. EDIT: No other models show this. CMC has a minor something. Other models are zilch. Not much model support, I think the 12z GFS individual ensemble members had 1-2 members that had something. Going to be tough for the models to key in on anything with the way the flow is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 NAM and RGEM are a little further north and west with some snow late Wednesday, along with some freezing rain and sleet. Amounts are light... but something to track. The GFS and EURO don't develop this until further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Wx 24/7 said: NAM and RGEM are a little further north and west with some snow late Wednesday, along with some freezing rain and sleet. Amounts are light... but something to track. The GFS and EURO don't develop this until further SE. The last 3-4 runs of the GFS (including 12z) have the NW trend too. Still looks to be very light amounts but still something to watch. Sounds like the cold air behind the front on Thursday will be bigger story. QPF on the GFS/RGEM is less than 1/10 inch. NAM is about 1/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 17, 2022 Author Share Posted January 17, 2022 Definitely going to have to watch N AR and S MO Wed night for a quick burst of wintry weather. Decent 850mb frontogenic forcing is going to try to force some mixed precip and a band of snowfall somewhere in that area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 17, 2022 Share Posted January 17, 2022 Wednesday NWS now has Snow Wednesday perhaps? NWS Springfield is forecasting this (https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Dora&state=MO&site=SGF&lat=36.7768&lon=-92.2171 A chance of rain before 2pm, then a chance of rain and snow between 2pm and 4pm, then a chance of snow after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Wind chill values as low as 19. North wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 Lock in the NAM please. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 18, 2022 Share Posted January 18, 2022 39 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said: Lock in the NAM please. Thanks. Agreed! Benton County, AR gets hit solid. MoWeatherGuy and I will take it!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 22 hours ago, The Waterboy said: Agreed! Benton County, AR gets hit solid. MoWeatherGuy and I will take it!!! Someone forgot to lock it in. These wind chills the next few nights are going to be brutal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 The timing of the system on the 24-25th is interesting on the GFS. There's a system opening up and lifting out of the SW as energy digs into the backside. If there's a phase, there would be a much larger storm. EDIT: And the 12z Euro must have read my post........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 29 degrees and a bit of freezing drizzle/light sleet coming down currently . 1/2" total of frozen stuff expected . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Changed over to light snow in Bella Vista. Nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Heavier snow just missed us to the south. Fayetteville area getting moderate to heavy snow with roads already covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Had some pretty nasty sleet and freezing drizzle here then it changed over to massive sized snow flakes for a bit, was just a quick burst but got the half inch as expected. Roads are pretty bad here in the neighborhoods! Cold night ahead, stay warm everyone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 Yeah that was a pretty fun little surprise snow squall. Got a quick inch out just east of Fayetteville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 23 hours ago, JoMo said: The timing of the system on the 24-25th is interesting on the GFS. There's a system opening up and lifting out of the SW as energy digs into the backside. If there's a phase, there would be a much larger storm. EDIT: And the 12z Euro must have read my post........ Can you educate me (us) on what’s missing for the 24th storm? The wave digs deep into Baja and ejects east nicely but seems to be too open. Do we just need it to be more closed off, negative tilt, etc? I also see the northern wave of energy that looks to phase as it moves into the northeast. Does that need to happen faster? Thanks for teaching us, Yoda! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 hours ago, The Waterboy said: Can you educate me (us) on what’s missing for the 24th storm? The wave digs deep into Baja and ejects east nicely but seems to be too open. Do we just need it to be more closed off, negative tilt, etc? I also see the northern wave of energy that looks to phase as it moves into the northeast. Does that need to happen faster? Thanks for teaching us, Yoda! Overall, just poor timing and energy in the northern stream kind of squashing everything. If you view the 500 MB vorticity image on the 18z GFS at 96 hours (18z Mon) you can see the closed system across the Texas Panhandle. You can also see another piece of energy across SW Montana. If we wanted a bigger storm, we'd want to see that piece of energy over Montana phase into the back of the system in the Texas PH. It doesn't. Also the northern stream kind of shreds the system. It's all about having the correct timing and pieces in place. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I sure hope that Feb is are jackpot month ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 8 minutes ago, Doramo said: I sure hope that Feb is are jackpot month ? Historically speaking... yes. When I was a kid March used to be around here as well. Not so much in recent years though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Its been hard watching these storms look like they may come together over our area but then wait until they cross into Tennessee and the southeast to blow up. We have had some decent snows this winter but it just feels like we had the potential for so much more so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 6 hours ago, NWAflizzard said: Its been hard watching these storms look like they may come together over our area but then wait until they cross into Tennessee and the southeast to blow up. We have had some decent snows this winter but it just feels like we had the potential for so much more so far. Unfortunately, that's pretty typical of La Nina. Every now and then one will come together far enough west though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Looks like something to watch late in the work week. Not a huge system, but maybe a few inches if it all works out. Probably will just disappoint again, but it is something to track at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I've only seen flurries this year in Tulsa. I'm praying February is better but that ridge is pretty stout! Good year the further east you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now