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Southern Plains Winter 2021-2022


Iceresistance
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Well alrighty then...

Mesoscale Discussion 1981
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0420 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

   Areas affected...Northeast Texas...far southeast Oklahoma...and far
   southwest Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 102220Z - 102345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe storms are possible
   across portions of the Arklatex.

   DISCUSSION...High based showers have developed along a dryline which
   has recently passed through Dallas. These showers are now moving
   into a more moisture rich airmass with dewpoints in the mid 60s.
   This is yielding MLCAPE around 1500 to 2000 J/kg beneath strong
   mid-level flow and effective shear in excess of 60 knots. Therefore,
   further intensification of these showers are possible. The threat
   will likely remain isolated, but the environment is quite favorable
   for supercells with an initial large hail threat with an increasing
   tornado threat with eastward extent. The isolated nature of any
   storm development may preclude the need for a watch, but if storm
   intensity is great enough or if more storms develop, a watch may be
   needed.

   ..Bentley/Grams.. 12/10/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33279692 34019584 34579457 34189338 33319365 32189491
               31809694 31979759 33279692 
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Just now, Powerball said:

Well alrighty then...

Mesoscale Discussion 1981
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0420 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

   Areas affected...Northeast Texas...far southeast Oklahoma...and far
   southwest Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 102220Z - 102345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe storms are possible
   across portions of the Arklatex.

   DISCUSSION...High based showers have developed along a dryline which
   has recently passed through Dallas. These showers are now moving
   into a more moisture rich airmass with dewpoints in the mid 60s.
   This is yielding MLCAPE around 1500 to 2000 J/kg beneath strong
   mid-level flow and effective shear in excess of 60 knots. Therefore,
   further intensification of these showers are possible. The threat
   will likely remain isolated, but the environment is quite favorable
   for supercells with an initial large hail threat with an increasing
   tornado threat with eastward extent. The isolated nature of any
   storm development may preclude the need for a watch, but if storm
   intensity is great enough or if more storms develop, a watch may be
   needed.

   ..Bentley/Grams.. 12/10/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33279692 34019584 34579457 34189338 33319365 32189491
               31809694 31979759 33279692 
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC085-231-397-102330-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0274.211210T2243Z-211210T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
443 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Rockwall County in north central Texas...
  Central Hunt County in north central Texas...
  Southeastern Collin County in north central Texas...

* Until 530 PM CST.

* At 443 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Fate, or near
  Rockwall, moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wylie, Rockwall, Greenville, Commerce, Royse City, Fate,
  Farmersville, Wolfe City, Caddo Mills, Celeste, Campbell, Mobile
  City, Lavon, McLendon-Chisholm, Nevada, Josephine and Neylandville.

This includes Interstate 30 between mile markers 68 and 100.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection get inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3284 9643 3300 9652 3338 9610 3341 9586
      3324 9586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 227DEG 43KT 3298 9640

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Gordon
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Yeah really disappointed in this winter so far. Up here in Fayetteville local TV mets are forecasting a high of 79 for Christmas being possible. Thats just wrong. I really hope things turn around in January and we finally get some winter storm systems but I think the same thing was said about December and we saw how that went. :wacko::thumbsdown:

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FWIW, the warmest December on record was back in 1933 (dust bowl era) with an average temp of 54*F.

After yesterday (and the day before, which both had below normal daily averages), DFW's average temperature sits at 59.8*F.

On top of that, DFW has ever recorded a December with average highs above 65*F, and right now it sits at 71*F.

This isn't just a torch, it's an inferno.

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Just now, Powerball said:

FWIW, the warmest December on record was back in 1933 (dust bowl era) with an average temp of 54*F.

After yesterday (and the day before, which both had below normal daily averages), DFW's average temperature sits at 59.8*F.

On top of that, DFW has ever recorded a December with average highs above 65*F, and right now it sits at 71*F.

This isn't just a torch, it's an inferno.

 
12/19 did break the 50*F+ highs streak though, with only a high of 48*F.
 
 
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