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wxeyeNH

Major Hurricane Lorenzo

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19 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

90L  just moved off the African coast and is getting it's act together very quickly.  Tightening spin at the circulation center.  Can't see any reason it will not be Lorenzo very soon.  At this very early stage models have it recurving in the Mid Atlantic.

I was surprised it wasn't declared at the 11 am update because on visible, it came off the coast spinning!

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-global-capeverde-truecolor-16_30Z-20190922_map_-12-1n-10-100-1251pm-truecolor-09222019.gif

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Can you update the title?

Tropical Depression Thirteen Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

Satellite imagery and partial scatterometer overpasses indicate
that the tropical wave in the eastern tropical Atlantic has
developed enough circulation and organized convection to be
designated a tropical depression.  The convection is currently
organized into a large band over the western semicircle, with an
additional smaller band to the southeast.  The initial intensity is
set at 30 kt in best agreement with a satellite intensity estimate
from TAFB.

The initial motion is 270/14.  A strong deep-layer ridge to the
north of the depression should steer it generally westward to
west-northwestward for the next 3-4 days, with the center passing
well to the south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Near
the end of the forecast period, the cyclone is expected to turn
northwestward as it approaches a weakness in the ridge.  The track
guidance is tightly clustered, and the forecast track is in best
agreement with the HCCA corrected consensus model.

The cyclone is forecast to be in a light to moderate easterly shear
environment over warm sea surface temperatures for the next 3-4
days, and there are no obvious negative factors to prevent
strengthening.  The intensity forecast thus calls for steady
intensification through 96 h, with the intensity forecast lying near
the upper edge of the guidance from 48-96 h.  Some southwesterly
shear may develop near 120 h, so the forecast show little change in
strength from 96-120 h.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/0300Z 10.8N  20.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  23/1200Z 10.8N  23.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  24/0000Z 11.1N  25.7W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  24/1200Z 11.8N  28.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  25/0000Z 12.6N  31.0W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  26/0000Z 13.8N  36.7W   80 KT  90 MPH
 96H  27/0000Z 15.5N  41.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
120H  28/0000Z 19.0N  45.5W   95 KT 110 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

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5 am update just issued -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 230903
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 AM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED THE FAR EASTERN
TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 22.2W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

 

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Future big ACE generator right here. With a big deep layer central Atlantic trough it should not impact anthing west of 60°W however it could impact the Azores depending on how fast it recurves. With the deep layer trough, Lorenzo may actually continue deepening or remain a major hurricane as it moves north into the central Atlantic as the steering layer may offset upper level wind shear. Such trough interactions can enhance favorability versus negative upstream shear. Hence why I think Lorenzo will be a big ACE producing Cape Verde hurricane.

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IR presentation looks great today. Probably already at TS strength or just a hair below right now.

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 2.4 /1010.6mb/ 34.0kt

 

Current Intensity Analysis
 

                     UW - CIMSS                     
              ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE       
                    ADT-Version 9.0                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  23 SEP 2019    Time :   130000 UTC
      Lat :   10:51:31 N     Lon :   23:05:53 W

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                2.4     2.7     3.1

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IR presentation looks great today. Probably already at TS strength or just a hair below right now.
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 2.4 /1010.6mb/ 34.0kt
 
Current Intensity Analysis
 
                    UW - CIMSS                                  ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE                          ADT-Version 9.0                        Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm                   ----- Current Analysis -----     Date :  23 SEP 2019    Time :   130000 UTC     Lat :   10:51:31 N     Lon :   23:05:53 W                Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T#                2.4     2.7     3.1

FWIWa1764ef8984916f6e6b19221dcbcacad.jpg

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.1N 24.1W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM S OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was
located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 24.1 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A motion toward the
west-northwest is expected starting tonight, and this is forecast to
continue through the middle of the week. On the forecast track, the
center of the depression should pass well to the south of the Cabo
Verde Islands today and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Lorenzo
is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

Yet another tropical storm has formed over the Atlantic, this one
over the far eastern portion of the basin. The system has been
designated as Tropical Storm Lorenzo based on satellite intensity
estimates from TAFB, SAB, and UW-CIMSS, all of which support
tropical-storm strength. The initial intensity is set at 35 kt, but
its possible this is somewhat conservative since the TAFB
classification was a little higher.

Recent GMI microwave imagery and ASCAT-C data showed that the
low-level center of Lorenzo is on the north side of most of its deep
convection. While this disorganized structure may limit how quickly
Lorenzo can strengthen in the short-term, the tropical storm is
located within a generally favorable environment for
intensification. All of the intensity guidance shows Lorenzo
becoming a hurricane, but the timing varies from model to model. The
official forecast follows the HFIP Corrected Consensus, and shows
Lorenzo reaching hurricane status within 48 h. Continued
strengthening is forecast thereafter. No noteworthy changes were
made to the NHC intensity forecast.

The ASCAT and microwave data were very helpful in determining the
location of Lorenzo's center and its forward speed. The cyclone
has accelerated and the initial motion estimate is now 275/15 kt.
Very little adjustment was made to the NHC track forecast. Lorenzo
is still forecast to be steered generally westward to
west-northwestward to the south of a deep-layer ridge centered over
the eastern Atlantic. The cyclone will pass well south and southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight. A turn toward the
northwest is forecast in about 4 days as Lorenzo reaches a break in
the ridge. Just like the intensity forecast, the track forecast is
based heavily on HCCA.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 11.1N  24.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  24/0000Z 11.5N  26.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  24/1200Z 12.0N  28.9W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  25/0000Z 12.5N  31.6W   60 KT  70 MPH
 48H  25/1200Z 13.1N  34.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 72H  26/1200Z 14.6N  39.4W   85 KT 100 MPH
 96H  27/1200Z 17.1N  43.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
120H  28/1200Z 20.5N  47.0W   95 KT 110 MPH

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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Lorenzo got an early 5 pm update (and is doing better than Karen)!

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 232033
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

...LORENZO STRENGTHENING WELL SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 25.5W
ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

 

203528_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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5 am update (starting to crank up) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 240853
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 AM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...LORENZO FORECAST TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 28.0W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

 

085518_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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11 am update (pressure slowly dropping) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 241435
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...LORENZO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 29.3W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

 

143737_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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5 pm update (Lorenzo holding steady but expected to strengthen to a hurricane soon - perhaps by tomorrow) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 242048
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...LORENZO'S INTENSITY HOLDING STEADY FOR THE MOMENT...
...STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 31.0W
ABOUT 465 MI...745 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

 

204948_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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11 pm update (getting close to hurricane-level winds) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 250234
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 PM AST Tue Sep 24 2019

...LORENZO RESUMES INTENSIFYING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 32.4W
ABOUT 545 MI...880 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES

 

023755_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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5 am update (Lorenzo is now officially a hurricane) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 250856
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...LORENZO BECOMES THE FIFTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 33.9W
ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

 

085840_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...LORENZO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 35.1W
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 35.1 West.  Lorenzo is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Thursday.  A turn toward
the northwest is expected late Thursday or Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days, and Lorenzo is forecast to become a major
hurricane by Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).

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Hurricane Lorenzo Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

Conventional satellite imagery indicates that Lorenzo continues to
become better organized, with a small central convective feature
surrounded by a large complex of outer bands in all quadrants
except the northwest, where some dry air may be entraining.
Satellite intensity estimates from TAFB, SAB, and the CIMMS
satellite consensus technique have increased to near 75 kt, and that
will be the initial intensity for this advisory.  The hurricane
currently has good cirrus outflow in all directions.

The initial motion is 285/15.  The subtropical ridge to the north
and northeast of Lorenzo should steer the hurricane west-
northwestward for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the
northwest as a break develops in the ridge between 45W-50W.  Lorenzo
is subsequently forecast to turn northward into the break by 96 h
and recurve into the westerlies around 120 h.  While the guidance
agrees with this scenario, there is some spread on the longitude of
the recurvature between the easternmost GFS model and the
westernmost ECMWF model.  The new forecast lies between these models
in best overall agreement with the HCCA corrected consensus
guidance.

Lorenzo should remain over warm water and in a light shear
environment during the next three days, with the only negative
factor for intensification being episodic intrusions of dry air.
The intensity guidance forecasts continued steady strengthening,
with rapid strengthening possible during the first 24-36 h.  The
new intensity forecast is increased from the previous forecast, and
for the first 36-48 h it lies near the upper edge of the intensity
guidance.  The intensity forecast shows little change in strength
between 36-72 h, although some fluctuations in intensity are likely
due to eyewall replacement cycles during this time.  After 72 h,
Lorenzo is likely to encounter some southwesterly shear, and thus
some weakening is forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/1500Z 14.1N  35.1W   75 KT  85 MPH
 12H  26/0000Z 14.4N  37.1W   85 KT 100 MPH
 24H  26/1200Z 15.3N  39.2W  100 KT 115 MPH
 36H  27/0000Z 16.7N  40.8W  110 KT 125 MPH
 48H  27/1200Z 18.4N  42.2W  110 KT 125 MPH
 72H  28/1200Z 21.9N  44.2W  110 KT 125 MPH
 96H  29/1200Z 25.0N  44.5W  105 KT 120 MPH
120H  30/1200Z 29.0N  42.0W  105 KT 120 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

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Lorenzo has certainly become more impressive in the last 24 hours. It is 20 kts stronger than yesterday morning (11 AM AST) and it is predicted to be a major hurricane

Right now it has a couple of pulses of convection near the center, which looks kind of weird. 

Lorenzo is an Italian name. Maybe he will recurve back to Italy.

q0Btvb9.jpg

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7 minutes ago, Chinook said:

Lorenzo has certainly become more impressive in the last 24 hours. It is 20 kts stronger than yesterday morning (11 AM AST) and it is predicted to be a major hurricane

Right now it has a couple of pulses of convection near the center, which looks kind of weird. 

Lorenzo is an Italian name. Maybe he will recurve back to Italy.

q0Btvb9.jpg

Might be trying to form an eye.

Via visible satellite tried to form an eye earlier this morning. 

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A lot of the reason why Lorenzo recurves so early is due to the trough interaction with Jerry. It's really a shame from a weather/hurricane enthusiast that this has a greater than 99% chance of recurving well before any land interaction. It's great news for the islands which would have really been under the gun with such a strong system that far East.

interestingly enough, the Euro shows development of another wave coming off Africa in a few days with what appears to be more of a pronounced ridge in place over almost all of the Atlantic.

ecmwf_z500_mslp_atl_11.png

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5 pm update (Lorenzo continues to strengthen and expected to be a major hurricane some time tomorrow) -

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 252040
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...LORENZO STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON THURSDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 36.9W
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorenzo was
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 36.9 West. Lorenzo is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Thursday.  A turn toward
the northwest is expected by Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days, and Lorenzo is forecast to become a major
hurricane on Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven
Quote
000
WTNT43 KNHC 252041
TCDAT3

Hurricane Lorenzo Discussion Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
500 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

Conventional satellite imagery indicates that Lorenzo continues to
become better organized, with the central dense overcast getting
larger while a large complex of outer bands continues in the
southeastern semicircle.  In addition, a AMSR-2 overpass near 1530
UTC suggested there is at least a partial eyewall or convective ring
near the center.  The initial intensity is increased to 80 kt in
best agreement with the CIMSS satellite consensus intensity
estimate. The hurricane still shows good cirrus outflow in all
directions, and it still appears some dry air is entraining into the
system in the northwestern quadrant.

The initial motion is now 285/16.  There is no change to the track
forecast philosophy from the previous advisory.  The subtropical
ridge to the north and northeast of Lorenzo should steer the
hurricane west-northwestward for the next day or so, followed by a
turn toward the northwest as a break develops in the ridge between
45W-50W.  Lorenzo is subsequently forecast to turn northward into
the break by 96 h and recurve into the westerlies around 120 h.
Since the last advisory, the track guidance has shifted a little to
the right after 36 h.  The new forecast track is similar to the
previous track, but after 36 h it now lies a little to the left of
the center of the guidance envelope.

Lorenzo should remain over warm water and in a light shear
environment during the next three days, with the only negative
factor for intensification being episodic intrusions of dry air.
The intensity guidance forecasts continued steady strengthening for
the next 36 h or so, but the the chances of rapid intensification
in the various statistical indices have gone down since the previous
advisory.  The new intensity forecast will call for 36 more hours
of intensification, and it continues to lie near the upper edge of
the intensity guidance.  The intensity forecast follows the general
trend of the guidance in showing little change in strength between
36-96 h, although fluctuations in intensity are likely due to
eyewall replacement cycles during this time. After that time,
Lorenzo is likely to encounter southwesterly shear, and thus some
weakening is forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 14.5N  36.9W   80 KT  90 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 15.0N  38.7W   90 KT 105 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 16.1N  40.5W  105 KT 120 MPH
 36H  27/0600Z 17.7N  41.8W  110 KT 125 MPH
 48H  27/1800Z 19.5N  43.0W  110 KT 125 MPH
 72H  28/1800Z 23.0N  44.3W  105 KT 120 MPH
 96H  29/1800Z 26.5N  43.5W  105 KT 120 MPH
120H  30/1800Z 31.0N  40.5W  100 KT 115 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

 

204231_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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