brooklynwx99 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 34 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: This storms has been pushed back now nearly 48 hours.... originally a Super Bowl Sunday afternoon into Monday event, and Now GFS has it as a late Monday early Tue this things wayyyyy out in fantasy land, especially now, its past the 240 mark lol Yeah I'm completely aware of the 10 day mark, but you usually don't see that kind of agreement this far out. If this remains until Monday night, then it'll be a much more legitimate threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said: Yeah I'm completely aware of the 10 day mark, but you usually don't see that kind of agreement this far out. If this remains until Monday night, then it'll be a much more legitimate threat. I still think it's a legitimate threat, and do believe we will have a storm this time frame, but regardless of consistency, any solution on exact track/snow amounts/intensity etc beyond 3-5 days with a coastal is grain of salt imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I still think it's a legitimate threat, and do believe we will have a storm this time frame, but regardless of consistency, any solution on exact track/snow amounts/intensity etc beyond 3-5 days with a coastal is grain of salt imo I agree. At least we have something to track honestly. This winter has been booorrrring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 29 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: I agree. At least we have something to track honestly. This winter has been booorrrring. If it wasn't for December we'd be in the same boat as last season up here... just an awful stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: If it wasn't for December we'd be in the same boat as last season up here... just an awful stretch Stop crying bros, we will get through this. The next three weeks look the best so far this winter. -all we need is a storm that the GFS just depicted and we'll be good. Never mind the fact that we can nickel and dime the next week with two potential minor events. I'm excited for the next two weeks at least but I'm being quiet about it cause it's far but man am I hyped! By the way the day after Super Bowl storm looks like the storm we had a few weeks ago when New York City had gotten almost 6 inches except it's a better setup in my opinion! Let's see what the GFS prints out! I homestly feel like the models have have been better this year in the long term! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 13 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Stop crying bros, we will get through this. The next three weeks look the best so far this winter. -all we need is a storm that the GFS just depicted and we'll be good. Never mind the fact that we can nickel and dime the next week with two potential minor events. I'm excited for the next two weeks at least but I'm being quiet about it cause it's far but man am I hyped! By the way the day after Super Bowl storm looks like the storm we had a few weeks ago when New York City had gotten almost 6 inches except it's a better setup in my opinion! Let's see what the GFS prints out! I homestly feel like the models have have been better this year in the long term! I feel like the opposite...no long range has done excellent, they've been ok at recognizing an event, but it's not like the euro of past where a storm would stay locked for days, constant flipflopping and inconsistency on all storms (GFS/Euro/GGEM..... the NAMs been king this year... by far.... other than a passing glance and some discussion, I'm not hyped for anything until it's in the 84hr range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I feel like the opposite...no long range has done excellent, they've been ok at recognizing an event, but it's not like the euro of past where a storm would stay locked for days, constant flipflopping and inconsistency on all storms (GFS/Euro/GGEM..... the NAMs been king this year... by far.... other than a passing glance and some discussion, I'm not hyped for anything until it's in the 84hr range Yes but the euro also had the BM track for the past storm showing a warm solution literally 240 hours out. Remember we were all arguing about it lol cant wait for the next two weeks! Nam has has been king this year and last year ever since the. BLLizard I feel edit: what happened to the NAM run tonight? It's not showing anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 4 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Yes but the euro also had the BM track for the past storm showing a warm solution literally 240 hours out. Remember we were all arguing about it lol cant wait for the next two weeks! Nam has has been king this year and last year ever since the. BLLizard I feel edit: what happened to the NAM run tonight? It's not showing anywhere Running late... currently running, idk why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That system on the GFS sure goes poof at 160 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 GFS is an inland runner and the CMC is a coastal storm for Feb 6 Those models switched places lol Many more runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 LR GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 That was a nice GEFS run. Looks like a trough in the east most of the time with oscillating heights over GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 Last nights euro was a weak sheared out mess... OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Last nights euro was a weak sheared out mess... OTS Eps was better Several inches 6Z gfs was a lakes cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps was better Several inches 6Z gfs was a lakes cutter Honestly, like I had said before... I give Zero weight to the euro or GFS at this point, I'll wait to see what Nam says lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 28, 2017 Author Share Posted January 28, 2017 06 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 GFS and CMC keep shifting south with the clipper for midweek. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Looks like the GFS is going to be a big hit for post Super Bowl snow event...Not as good as yesterday's 18z run but nonetheless a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 CMC also shows a coastal snow event but further east than last run. GFS now has a coastal storm but a weak one. Right where we would want it to be this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS and CMC keep shifting south with the clipper for midweek. Something to watch. Hope and pray that this doesn't turn into a Mid-Atlantic event and misses us to the south. I have real serious doubts about the pattern being favorable again starting around February 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Hope and pray that this doesn't turn into a Mid-Atlantic event and misses us to the south. I have real serious doubts about the pattern being favorable again starting around February 15th The event near 140 hours may miss. I think he was referencing the clipper around day 3-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The event near 140 hours may miss. I think he was referencing the clipper around day 3-4 Yes I was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: Yes I was The ukmet through 72 looks relatively far south with it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The event near 140 hours may miss. I think he was referencing the clipper around day 3-4 Oh ok I misunderstood which one he was talking about. I really hope the post superbowl storm doesn't miss for the sake of snowlovers. I think the pattern goes very unfavorable for cold and snow for an extended period come February 15th-ish. By then we are approaching March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 17 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Hope and pray that this doesn't turn into a Mid-Atlantic event and misses us to the south. I have real serious doubts about the pattern being favorable again starting around February 15th Maybe take a look at what isotherm wrote? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: Oh ok I misunderstood which one he was talking about. I really hope the post superbowl storm doesn't miss for the sake of snowlovers. I think the pattern goes very unfavorable for cold and snow for an extended period come February 15th-ish. By then we are approaching March I would be worried more about that event cutting than missing at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 32 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Maybe take a look at what isotherm wrote? I did already and I respectfully disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 47 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The ukmet through 72 looks relatively far south with it too Might have to start a separate thread on this later today or tomorrow - Central NJ and points north could pick up a couple to a few inches if trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 The Euro is pretty dry for the clipper. A narrow stripe of 0.10"+ over NNJ and parts of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted January 28, 2017 Share Posted January 28, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: The Euro is pretty dry for the clipper. A narrow stripe of 0.10"+ over NNJ and parts of LI. How does it look for the storm on the 6th is it too Far East??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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