FlatLander48 Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 Nope, not backing down. There is not much in our favor to start with and I don't see how in the world the whole pattern can flip right now. the only way that we will see major cold in the winter is with a really weak PV. besides lobes of cold air possibly coming from it, I just don't see enough in the modeling now, in the near future or far future to say a pattern flip is coming. maybe for a couple of days but nothing sustained. the good part is where we live we will still see snow obviously, but I do not like the look at all. in other news, heading to the rock for the game today and that frost was sure nice to see. 31.3 degrees at my house this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 5 hours ago, SnoJoe said: Wow. I'm at a balmy 45.2. Inversion city. Wow crazy ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 5, 2016 Share Posted November 5, 2016 Need the 12z GFS to be right....light mountain snow accumulations...20s for my backyard...and foothill snow showers at times. All before Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 The next five days look pretty meh. highs on the 60s and lows in the 30s with no rain. Maybe some changes next weekend but I'm going to start looking at the next five days only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Low of 31 degrees this morning . Some interesting things on the model runs but it's too far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 58 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Low of 31 degrees this morning . Some interesting things on the model runs but it's too far off. Still bottomed out in the mid 40's this morning. We haven't even had a good frost here yet. The latest I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Still bottomed out in the mid 40's this morning. We haven't even had a good frost here yet. The latest I can remember.Your time will come Joe. Interesting stats.Bottomed out at 37 this morning. Perfect for a 5 mile run Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Hit 28 at my house this morning. hardest frost so far. too bad it warmed up too much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Already down to 39 degrees surprisingly. Iv been ready across the board and I just don't get a good feeling about a pattern change in our favor. We will see what happens . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 7, 2016 Author Share Posted November 7, 2016 11 hours ago, strongwxnc said: Your time will come Joe. Interesting stats. Bottomed out at 37 this morning. Perfect for a 5 mile run Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk You Rock Brother Mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 20 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Already down to 39 degrees surprisingly. Iv been ready across the board and I just don't get a good feeling about a pattern change in our favor. We will see what happens . You know what Met, I just go with whatever happens. It isnt like we have any control so whatever it is like outside, take it and run lol. I mean we have no choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 11 minutes ago, Avdave said: You know what Met, I just go with whatever happens. It isnt like we have any control so whatever it is like outside, take it and run lol. I mean we have no choice Oh yeah I know man but dang has it been a long freaking summer! lol its like it just never ends. I have nightmares of the 2011/2012 winter season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 12 hours ago, SnoJoe said: Still bottomed out in the mid 40's this morning. We haven't even had a good frost here yet. The latest I can remember. That's crazy Joe. Must be mixing with some wind up your way. I'm tucked in over here. Been some good radiation cooling going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Another cold frosty morning . This time with a low of 26 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 20 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Another cold frosty morning . This time with a low of 26 degrees. I'm still in the low 40's. I was beginning to think I might have a problem with my temp sensor but Beech, Suger, Wolf Laurel, Powder Horn, Snake, etc. are all in the low 40's this morning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alhooks13 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 Seems like the lower overnight temps have settled into the valleys. It was 33º in Linville this morning around 7:45a as I left the Tartan restaurant according to my car thermometer. It was 46º at the entrance to Grandfather Mountain and noticeably warmer just five minutes later. I then headed south on the BRP towards Linville Falls and bottomed out at 32º where the BRP meets Hwy 183. There was a heavy frost in this aera. I headed back over to my house south of Jonas Ridge on the escarpment, elevation 3600' where it was 45º. I know car thermometers are notoriously inaccurate, but I'm certain there was at least a 10º difference from high to low as I got out at each of these locations and walked around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 4 hours ago, SnoJoe said: I'm still in the low 40's. I was beginning to think I might have a problem with my temp sensor but Beech, Suger, Wolf Laurel, Powder Horn, Snake, etc. are all in the low 40's this morning as well. Wow yeah that is odd especially multiple mornings in a row. There has to be some mixing down with some subtle breeze going on in the higher elevations other than 3500 feet. Pretty weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 7, 2016 Share Posted November 7, 2016 18 minutes ago, alhooks13 said: Seems like the lower overnight temps have settled into the valleys. It was 33º in Linville this morning around 7:45a as I left the Tartan restaurant according to my car thermometer. It was 46º at the entrance to Grandfather Mountain and noticeably warmer just five minutes later. I then headed south on the BRP towards Linville Falls and bottomed out at 32º where the BRP meets Hwy 183. There was a heavy frost in this aera. I headed back over to my house south of Jonas Ridge on the escarpment, elevation 3600' where it was 45º. I know car thermometers are notoriously inaccurate, but I'm certain there was at least a 10º difference from high to low as I got out at each of these locations and walked around. I'm right around 3500 feet but in Haywood county . We have been having some cold mornings lately this weekend . Thanks for sharing . Very interesting and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 It looks like over the next five days we swing up then down a day then up then down for the weekend . Not much rain in sight sadly . We need the rain badly . it looks like we cool down Wednesday then warm up then probably cool down the coldest we have seen it this weekend probably only to warm up again . We are going to be in an up and down pattern for a bit I believe until one or the other wins out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Took this today on HWY 64 just south of McDowell in Rutherford County. Just up the road back in McDowell the smoke was thick due to the fire at south mountain. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 2 hours ago, strongwxnc said: Took this today on HWY 64 just south of McDowell in Rutherford County. Just up the road back in McDowell the smoke was thick due to the fire at south mountain. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Beautiful pic bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Nice pic, Strong. Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 90% leaves already fallen here. what's left brown with few stragglers colored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 8, 2016 Author Share Posted November 8, 2016 Europe is finally getting some snow cover: Live Cam only viewable during day Northern Italy http://www.persicetometeo.com/public/popup/alpe_siusi_panorama.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 Yeah I saw where Germany is getting some snow. I believe it maybe awhile for us. the indices are up and down and with the Pacific a train wreck the NAO and AO are not going to matter. We do cool down to right at or below normal this week and into this weekend . But this weekends cold shot looks pathetic to what was advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alhooks13 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 More temperature inversions in the High Country this morning. It was 32º in Linville when I left the restaurant and headed up to Grandfather entrance on US221. It was 44º at the entrance, which is 2 miles from Linville and 600-800' higher in elevation. I then headed north along the BRP. At the Linn Cove Viaduct, maybe 4-5 miles from the Grandfather entrance and similar elevation, but sits on the escarpment proper and below the Blue Ridge Crest, it was 55º. I then drove to Price Lake, which is on the other side of the crest, i.e. not on the escarpment, where it was 46º. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 too low in elevation here constantly near 32-36 in these dry cold spells while Jefferson in Ashe County was 46+ the other morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 8, 2016 Share Posted November 8, 2016 2 hours ago, alhooks13 said: More temperature inversions in the High Country this morning. It was 32º in Linville when I left the restaurant and headed up to Grandfather entrance on US221. It was 44º at the entrance, which is 2 miles from Linville and 600-800' higher in elevation. I then headed north along the BRP. At the Linn Cove Viaduct, maybe 4-5 miles from the Grandfather entrance and similar elevation, but sits on the escarpment proper and below the Blue Ridge Crest, it was 55º. I then drove to Price Lake, which is on the other side of the crest, i.e. not on the escarpment, where it was 46º. Very cool. We had a low of 30 degrees with frost again . I talked to a friend of mine 10 miles away above 4000 feet that had a low of only the mid 40s. I think he said like 43 degrees. This has been a crazy few mornings with inversions . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 We have rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 i just got 45 seconds of rain....45 seconds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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