doncat Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 1 hour ago, bluewave said: This probably sets the record for the most persistent wind blown drizzle in a tropical to post tropical storm around here. Had a shower earlier that wet the ground...I guess thats something right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 Raining at home again, 0.04 from this shower so far. thanks Hermine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 28 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: We agree. Fortunately, this time around, the storm didn't surprise in an adverse fashion resulting in much more damage/impact on people than had been expected. Makes me wonder about the behind-the-scenes discussions at the NHC. I wonder if they really felt the storm was going to go much further east and faster, but didn't want to put that into the official forecast, since I'm sure they'd far rather err on the side of being overly cautious - last thing they want is to reduce all the warnings and then have a storm become far more impactful than predicted, with little to no warning. Classic risk = impact * probability of that impact scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 57 minutes ago, doncat said: Had a shower earlier that wet the ground...I guess thats something right? This is the first tropical or post tropical storm 2 day drizzle event with very little actual rainfall accumulation that I can remember getting. Had to go down to the Tampa Bay area for the big 22 inch rainfall jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 4 hours ago, RU848789 said: Makes me wonder about the behind-the-scenes discussions at the NHC. I wonder if they really felt the storm was going to go much further east and faster, but didn't want to put that into the official forecast, since I'm sure they'd far rather err on the side of being overly cautious - last thing they want is to reduce all the warnings and then have a storm become far more impactful than predicted, with little to no warning. Classic risk = impact * probability of that impact scenario. That could be the case. NHC has typically preferred to make incremental adjustments to its forecast track. Gradualism may also have played a role. We'll probably know more in the end-of-season report. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 Still raining...last weenie band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 Hermine is like an old friend out there spinning in the Atlantic. Will miss her when she finally leaves lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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