1234snow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 The difference between the 12z and the 0z GFS with the ridge out west is amazing. 12z: 0z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWNC2015 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Big thing to take with the 0z GFS is the cold!! Timing will take care of the rest for the moisture to arrive to feed us at least one winter storm mid to late month.I see it...it's there....just not here yet. Good run despite lack of weenie scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 Keep reading that things look great for next week, but still don't see anything specific. One model might have the cold, and another might have the storms, but it doesn't sound like any of them have them both. And then the models themselves are flipping back and forth from having cold or not, or having storms or not. Hope we start seeing some runs of actual snow storms here as we go along this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 6z GFS doesn't give of us much to celebrate at least on the op run. Quick cold shot and then warming up end of run. I know its the op run but at some point whatever it shows will become reality and right now there isn't even a fantasy snowstorm on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormcatt Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 6z GFS doesn't give of us much to celebrate at least on the op run. Quick cold shot and then warming up end of run. I know its the op run but at some point whatever it shows will become reality and right now there isn't even a fantasy snowstorm on this run. [/quoteLol it's very close next Tuesday /Wednesday not to mention the sick - NAO . The GEFS looks great . Can't live and die by op runs Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I like the chance for a few snow showers across NC today. HRRR has some convective popcorn cells that develop later today that are associated with the backdoor front. These should be interesting if you can get under on because I bet they will produce 5-10 minute bursts of moderate snowfall. Hopefully some of you can see a few flakes to knock the edge off. I also think we see a few flakes here in WNC today from Northwest Flow, but we will be dealing with different dynamics producing our flakes. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 6z GFS doesn't give of us much to celebrate at least on the op run. Quick cold shot and then warming up end of run. I know its the op run but at some point whatever it shows will become reality and right now there isn't even a fantasy snowstorm on this run. I saw 3 storms moving along the Gulf and up the coast between the 11th and 17th or so on there. Any time a LP tracks to your south and east in winter, with major cold air looming off to the NW, you have a shot at something. Pay the op runs little attention on exact details beyond day 5, pay them no attention on thinks like individual storms, warm ups, cool downs etc beyond day 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 4, 2016 Share Posted January 4, 2016 I'm closing this topic for a new one in a sec... New topic here: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47535-january-midlong-range-winter-discussion/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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