NEOH Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 The 06z GFS would an all-timer for Northern Ohio. Still a long way to go but all good trends in the models with the southward shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 58 minutes ago, NEOH said: The 06z GFS would an all-timer for Northern Ohio. Still a long way to go but all good trends in the models with the southward shift. Definitely some favorable trends. I'm hoping we can miss any significant icing. Should be a fun week to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Cleveland/Akron mets and peeps seem to be hyping this one up as another 15-20 inch bruiser storm. Better not disappoint! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 CMC/EURO/GFS all pretty consistent now in the placement of heavy snow...a few days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: CMC/EURO/GFS all pretty consistent now in the placement of heavy snow...a few days out. How much did you guys get in Mentor? My girlfriend is in North Royalton and she got slammed but I think we got more accumulation in Stow. I received around 18 inches in Stow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 13 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Cleveland/Akron mets and peeps seem to be hyping this one up as another 15-20 inch bruiser storm. Better not disappoint! We have a CLE NWS met in here - OHWeather. Will be interested in hearing his thoughts. Looks like the Euro has a more consolidated low this run. A blend of the models is still good for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, NEOH said: We have a CLE NWS met in here - OHWeather. Will be interested in hearing his thoughts. Looks like the Euro has a more consolidated low this run. A blend of the models is still good for this area. Yeah. I agree. I think even 10 inches would be considered "major" for those of us here in the Cleveland/Akron area. When we start getting into 20+ inches, that's insane. One of the weather forecasts my sister has on her phone shows 3-5 inches late Wed night into Thursday, and then 10-16 inches Thursday into Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Had the AFD and grids today. Suspect it’s a sleet fest near or just south of Cleveland (with 12-24” of snow just north of the sleet) and a lot of ice in Canton and down towards central and SW Ohio. Feel the more consolidated and amped models are the way to lean…sort of liked a mix of the 12z/18z GFS, 0z CMC and 12z euro as a start for a conceptual idea…and go from there. Fear it trends a little more north from where we are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, OHweather said: Had the AFD and grids today. Suspect it’s a sleet fest near or just south of Cleveland (with 12-24” of snow just north of the sleet) and a lot of ice in Canton and down towards central and SW Ohio. Feel the more consolidated and amped models are the way to lean…sort of liked a mix of the 12z/18z GFS, 0z CMC and 12z euro as a start for a conceptual idea…and go from there. Fear it trends a little more north from where we are now. So you’re not thinking the accumulations in Akron the models show? You seem to be saying pretty much any snow will stay over the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z gfs trended slightly more north compared to 12z hopefully it stops. Still showing 24+ for me in mentor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 17 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: 18z gfs trended slightly more north compared to 12z hopefully it stops. Still showing 24+ for me in mentor Better stop this north trend crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Not looking good on 18z euro either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snohio Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 52 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: 18z gfs trended slightly more north compared to 12z hopefully it stops. Still showing 24+ for me in mentor Still looking good for Toledo area for now. Hope it lasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 18z Euro would snow a ton on the lakeshore if extrapolated further and would be a massive sleet and ice storm north of I-70 south of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 If the 18Z GFS pans out...Northern Ohio will be buried again from Toledo to Chardon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 gfs continuing with the insane numbers trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: gfs continuing with the insane numbers trend Holy cow that's alot of snow. That's 25 for Cleveland and almost 14 inches for Akron. That would be insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 hours ago, Floydbuster said: So you’re not thinking the accumulations in Akron the models show? You seem to be saying pretty much any snow will stay over the lake. That's not really what I said anywhere. I think it will be hard for you to avoid a lot of sleet (and perhaps some freezing rain in Akron, though I'm more worried Canton and Youngstown points south for prolonged icing). You will get at least some snow, perhaps some initially Wednesday night before warm air advection aloft really ramps up, and then on the backside Thursday evening or Thursday night. But I do think the heaviest axis is NW Ohio and then out over the lake. With that said you'll still get at least 1.00-1.50" of QPF (and perhaps up to 2.00" if the GFS is right) in some form of wintry precip down there. It'll be a mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 EURO still with highest totals along the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I'm stressed about those close lines. I live where the yellow dot is. I need those high numbers to move literally just 50 miles south. That's all. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: I'm stressed about those close lines. I live where the yellow dot is. I need those high numbers to move literally just 50 miles south. That's all. LOL I'm at the blue dot and im stressed up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Well with the way all the non-meteorological people are talking on social media and around the water cooler, if we don't get atleast 10+ inches, they'll say it's an over-hyped bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Yeah NAM is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 8 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: Yeah NAM is a disaster Nam always over amped at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Nam always over amped at this range. Yeah its long range. Hopefully the global models hold later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Big jump south on the 06z GFS. Looks great for northern Ohio on the GFS, CMC and Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Wish the 12z NAM went out further haha 1 minute ago, NEOH said: Big jump south on the 06z GFS. Looks great for northern Ohio on the GFS, CMC and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: Wish the 12z NAM went out further haha The NAM is definitely south of previous runs. Still not reliable at that range though. Do you have the 06 Euro snow map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHEATCENT Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 @NEOH yup! looks good with snow still falling/to come. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, WHEATCENT said: @NEOH yup! looks good with snow still falling/to come. Nice! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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