Hvward Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 12z sounding out of Jackson, MS shows a quite unstable atmosphere. Just passed Gadsden, AL and heading down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Already had one fatality in Arkansas from a potential tornado. It appears it was in a trailer park. A few trailers were completely destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Discrete cells are forming in SE Arkansas and NE Louisiana. Already have one tornado warning in SE Arkansas. Pretty good conditions just ahead of the line in the aforementioned areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Live news stream. http://www.katv.com/category/273536/live-stream-newscasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Cell SE of Tichnor in E Arkansas County with a pretty solid couplet viewing from the distant KLZK radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 These supercells aren't taking long to start rotating. Several warnings out already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 15% tor introduced on 1630z OTLK... and its a large one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 15% tor introduced on 1630z OTLK... and its a large one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Here are some of the discrete cells you all have talked about: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Wow at the new update. Very large 15 percent area for TOR. Could be an active afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 The mets at that link I posted kept saying it will just get more active this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Warm air advection showers are forming over SE Louisiana and Southern Mississippi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 The atmosphere looks ready to to go in these areas. CAPE: Supercell Composite: Sig Tor: EHI: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Still rotation with the cell NE of Gunnison, AR but it has weakened some since the last few scans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 New tornado watch for SW and South Central Louisiana. Dynamics look really conducive there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Tornado watch likely coming for most of Mississippi and parts of Western Tennessee. Confluence band ahead of the main line has promoted storms that have organized into supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I still think this will underperform due to lack of instability. I know there are other dynamics at work that could prove me wrong but I do not believe widespread severe weather will take place, but local definitely will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 I still think this will underperform due to lack of instability. I know there are other dynamics at work that could prove me wrong but I do not believe widespread severe weather will take place, but local definitely will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 WAA showers in Southern Mississippi are getting the kidney bean shape to them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 WAA showers in Southern Mississippi are getting the kidney bean shape to them... Especially the cell just SE of Jackson,MS in Smith Co...racing north toward Scott Co. Will be interesting to see how it develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Curently between jackson & Meridian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I'm referring to the main line in E. Ark as it moves into W. Tn & W. Ky. I'll return & tell you "I told you so" later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Interesting reflectivity showing up on KMRX radar right now along the highest ridgetops near the state line in Sevier and Blount counties. I don't have a good explanation for it, but it almost looks like upslope showers. The winds are not coming from the correct direction for that to be occurring though. I wonder if it's just noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Cloud cover has really thinned east of the Miss. River, especially over N. Mississippi, W. Tenn, W. Ky & S. Ilinois. http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=EVV&itype=vis&size=small&endDate=20141013&endTime=-1&duration=5I'm currently seeing several peeks of sunshine. If that continues it could be add quite of bit of fuel to the fire East of River. It will not take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kperk014 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Sun breaking through in Florence, Al. Temp is 80 and rising with a dew point of 68, winds at 15 mph with gusts of 25 at 1:15 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I still think this will underperform due to lack of instability. I know there are other dynamics at work that could prove me wrong but I do not believe widespread severe weather will take place, but local definitely will. You're already wrong, widespread outbreak is underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 That cell just to the SW of Philadelphia, MS has decent mid and upper level rotation.Definitely something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Wow - actually rotation at 5,000 feet for many of those isolated cells ENE of Yazoo City, MS. Most notably with the cell directly east of Kosciusko, MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Incredible damage pictures coming out of Monroe. Trees down across ULM campus and billboards toppled down across I-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Well, you would like to think the Philadelphia, MS cell would have a tornado warning on it by now - but that doesn't appear to be the case... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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