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About kperk014

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)

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  1. There was nothing of importance in this version of the late April SE forum. Just some folks talking about the temp or their garden. There was no mention that over 300 people might be killed the next day. I don't remember the thread being THAT empty. I remember really good conversations by several people. None of that is there.
  2. kperk014

    March 3, 2019 Severe Threat

    That was very 4/27/2011 ish.
  3. kperk014

    March 3, 2019 Severe Threat

    DANG! That sucker was hauling ass!
  4. kperk014

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever

    Since it was pretty much ignored in this thread, I'll just throw these in: https://www.waaytv.com/content/news/TVA-Wilson-Dam-pumping-3-million-gallons-of-water-per-second-after-10-days-of-rain-506334421.html https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=322535525044082 https://www.timesdaily.com/multimedia/flooding-around-the-shoals/video_621b72cd-980e-5ec0-a03a-445d44bcb510.html https://expo.al.com/news/g66l-2019/02/671ce3c1ad1047/photos-and-video-of-major-flooding-in-the-shoals-.html https://www.timesdaily.com/multimedia/residents-of-muscle-shoals-evacuated-from-their-homes-due-to/video_da7c4431-6ebf-5e27-9320-22c372b07f45.html At almost 100 years old, Wilson is still hanging in there!
  5. In the 2011 Super Outbreak, you posted:

    Just as an aside-although terrain may weaken most tornadoes, it may not be a good idea to expect that it would weaken all tornadoes. Especially when the dynamics involved are as powerful as they have been today. Cases in point: During the 1974 Super Outbreak a number of the tornadoes tracked over hilly terrain without even noticing it. One western US tornado that formed in UT made it across the Divide in WY which is at 10000 ft elevation causing considerable tree damage. Bellemont and Flagstaff AZ are close to 7k elevation and in the mountain region north of the escarpment of the Mogollon Rim yet last October 8 tornadoes up to EF3 intensity formed in the area doing significant damage. The parent storms actually developed along the base of the Mogollon Rim and moved north where the tornadoes developed.

    You are right and people who think a 5,000 foot mountain will "rip apart" a 58,000 foot super cell is putting themselves in danger. It's pretty obvious by the time that cell got to North Carolina, it was after midnight and probably 500 miles from it's power source, the Gulf of Mexico. Those are the factors I believe ended that tornadic storm.

    Kenny in Alabama

  6. From WHNT in Huntsville: Strong to severe storms approach early Saturday, continue through Saturday evening Morning temperatures dropped into the mid-to-upper 50s Friday morning, but with the strong southwesterly wind, we are seeing those temperatures rebound back into the upper 70s to low 80s Friday afternoon. These strong southwesterly winds are setting the stage for active severe storms west of us today; while we are in the low-80s with a south breeze, strong storms develop over Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas and Louisiana this afternoon and evening. All of that shifts into Alabama and Tennessee on Saturday. We expect a lot of rain, gusty winds, and a risk of a few severe storms during the day Saturday and into Saturday night across Alabama and Middle Tennessee. Saturday’s stormy setup: Saturday’s stormy weather is getting clearer, but questions remain about timing and intensity. The Storm Prediction Center outlines a large area where severe storms are possible Saturday from the Gulf Coast north to southern Kentucky, the *ENHANCED* risk area is now further north to include parts of north Alabama south along the gulf coast; that’s where storms will likely be (1) strongest and (2) most widespread. Those southern storms may also interfere with the storms in North Alabama and Tennessee. A large complex of storms that develops near the coast often reduces or eliminates the stormy weather in the Tennessee Valley. That’s one scenario that the entire forecast hinges on for Saturday afternoon and evening: big southern storms, little if any severe weather in North Alabama – no southern storms, greater risk around here. What to expect Saturday: Showers and storms move into Northwest Alabama between 7 AM and 12 PM, then they spread east through Huntsville to Northeast Alabama by late morning through early afternoon. A few of these could be severe: especially in Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin, Lawrence, and Limestone Counties before 9 AM. The line weakens as it moves east of Huntsville into a more stable environment, but rain is still likely as showers develop on and off throughout the morning and early afternoon. The greater severe weather threat comes in the afternoon and evening (into Saturday night) as we carefully watch what’s happening south of us. This slow-moving storm system leaves a strong southwesterly flow aloft (10,000 to 20,000 feet above our heads), and that likely brings more rain and storms in from the south Saturday evening. If the Gulf Coast storms are strong enough, it will just be rain in North Alabama. If the Gulf Coast storms don’t materialize, we could see some severe storms between 5 PM and midnight. The pieces are in place for severe weather, but those southern storms are a huge factor in whether they will actually develop in North Alabama.
  7. SPC AC 131731 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE ENHANCED RISK FROM THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO TN... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN IL AND IN... ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO PART OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTH TO THE LOWER OH VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms are expected across the lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast States with a threat for damaging winds and a few tornadoes, some possibly strong. Isolated severe storms will be possible in the Midwest Saturday afternoon to early evening. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk_1730_prt.html
  8. kperk014

    3/19/18 Dixie Alley severe outbreak

    DANG! That's going over Florence, Al. Their luck instability wasn't very high at that time.
  9. kperk014

    3/19/18 Dixie Alley severe outbreak

    ... or the word "define!"
  10. kperk014

    3/19/18 Dixie Alley severe outbreak

    Some wrote it off early. As almost always happens, the early "marginal" turns to "slight" and now it has reached "enhanced." It wouldn't surprise me if it goes to "moderate" by tonight.
  11. kperk014

    2011 Tornado Radar Images

    That must have been when the two storm chasers reported the tornado was roping out along I-22.
  12. kperk014

    Tn Valley Severe Weather 2017

    I had a little spare time to look up Super Outbreak stats. Living in north Alabama, this one caught my eye the most: Alabama has been involved in three Super Outbreaks - 1932,1974 and 2011 and has suffered 606 fatalities combined in those three outbreaks. I think we should be given a lifetime pass for any future Super Outbreaks.
  13. So in other words, the truth is not welcome here. Very fascist of you. Of course I don't blame you. Truth ALWAYS ruins a manufactured crisis, right?

    1. kperk014


      I posed a perfect logical but unanswerable question about "global warming" or whatever you guys are calling it this week and it was quickly removed. Just another example of free speech is limited if you don't parrot the party line.

  14. kperk014

    Post your favorite tornado videos here

    At 2:50, I wonder if that's the developing super cell that chased the Tuscaloosa cell all the way to Birmingham, caught it and absorbed it and then hit St Clair, Calhoun, Etowah and Cherokee Counties in Alabama before moving into Georgia? Here's a shot of it.