Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I think we can start to lock at least some flakes in the air tom afteroon evening across parts of sne, maybe a coating across interior se mass and ri? 9z SREF's snow prob's give some love to the interior. Not high prob's but they are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 9z SREF's snow prob's give some love to the interior. gfs nam ggem and euro all show some flakes, and in this pattern every flake must be cherished, just seeing a couple flying around would be wonderful, get into the holiday spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Did you see the GFS or no? If you are asking me if I looked at the 12z GFS, I did. Is it correct? Who the hell knows. The 12z GGEM is suppressed S of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 I don't think the GFS at 7 days out should be taken very seriously.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 If you are asking me if I looked at the 12z GFS, I did. Is it correct? Who the hell knows. The 12z GGEM is suppressed S of us. Well no crap, but put it in context to what we have weather wise for the next week or so.. all I'm saying, it's something to watch... hell, look at October 30, every model but the euro was suppressed until about 3 days out.. All I'm saying is the setup looks decent for a snow event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Well no crap, but put it in context to what we have weather wise for the next week or so.. all I'm saying, it's something to watch... hell, look at October 30, every model but the euro was suppressed until about 3 days out.. All I'm saying is the setup looks decent for a snow event Thats the key, The euro was surpressed at 0z so it should be taken lightly at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Thats the key, The euro was surpressed at 0z so it should be taken lightly at this time No doubt, I'm not calling for Winter storm watches to be put up tomorrow, it's just nice to have a slight chance at a bigger snow event 7 days out rather than listening to a wishcast of a pattern change date It's not like the GFS hasn't school the euro before either, unlikely but its happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 where is blizz24? I miss him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Thats the key, The euro was surpressed at 0z so it should be taken lightly at this time Other then maybe some flurries, The 12z Euro is supressed as well with the low moving east off the delmarva for turkey day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 i don't think that's a fair way to look at it though, steve. that's ignoring the globe and instead dissecting an 8 day model output for the extreme northeastern quadrant of the conus...not exactly the same thing. those big 850s are still there - just a day earlier and not as big...like +9C vs +14-16 (which was kind of ridiculous anyway which you know) there's always going to be run-to-run variability...but the *overall theme* is the same. huge black hole of death trough out west with a pronounced SE ridge showing itself at times. some of the day-to-day shifts we see are exactly why folks have said ad nauseum that just because the pattern is a warm one, doesn't mean it can't deliver now and then. Yeah exactly... the discussion we've been having has been about the global pattern which just plain sucks. It's an awful pattern. It's been very consistent, very stable, and very well modeled. Whether that means we see a day that's +5 or +15 remains to be seen... and to be honest it's not really what we're talking about. The pattern sucks... maybe we get lucky with something? Who knows. But the conversation a lot of us have been having can't be refuted by saying it's going to be 55F next Monday and not 70F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 op Euro keeps the +EPO from hell in place through day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 NAM has excellent snow growth tomorrow with our little ana front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 IF we manage to somehow grab an inch or 2 on the grassy surfaces tomorrow..it will be a special special day in all of our memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 At least next week looks chilly with 40'sthru the holiday before we torch back into the 70's next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 NAM has excellent snow growth tomorrow with our little ana front gfs has almost .2 of snow at bdr and .06 of ice pellets, better than nothing, our little precious. Believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 NAM has excellent snow growth tomorrow with our little ana front CL&P is not worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 IF we manage to somehow grab an inch or 2 on the grassy surfaces tomorrow..it will be a special special day in all of our memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 an inch or 2... there could be a few mood flakes around but anything more then that would be a stretch IF we manage to somehow grab an inch or 2 on the grassy surfaces tomorrow..it will be a special special day in all of our memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Torchin' the Turkey 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Torchin' the Turkey 2011 LOL can we please make that the thread title Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 At least next week looks chilly with 40'sthru the holiday before we torch back into the 70's next weekend Oh not 70 Mon?as we were told was locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 With upper 30's -40's for highs on Turkey day at least it'll feel somewhat like the holidays.. By then we should be ale to see the light at the end of the tunnel in terms of the end of the milder pattern. Right now there's nothing but wretched warm darkness like we're in coffins in a woodbaked pizza oven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 Oh not 70 Mon?as we were told was locked in. It was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 It was? yea that's all I heard this past weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 It was? hvy hvy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 hvy hvy snow Epic, epic torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 hvy hvy snow +10 to +15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 yea that's all I heard this past weekend Yuck.. I just threw up in my mouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 yea that's all I heard this past weekend Your image is not showing up Steve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 16, 2011 Share Posted November 16, 2011 +10 to +15 I actually have a handful of below normal days in my 7 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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