Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Pretty good agreement for a 5-6 day lead for a hybrid type Noreaster to effect the Eastern Seaboard. Current progs show a moderate type wet and wild system with the potential for a more substantial intense hybrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 HPC MAIN WEATHER EVENT OVER CONUS THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE AREA OF LOW PRESURE DEVELOPING IN THE NERN GLFMEX AND REFORMING OFF THE SOUTH ATLC SEABOARD. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NC COAST DAY 5 THURS AND TO NEW ENGLAND WATERS DAY 6 FRI. MDT TO HEAVY RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF ITS TRACK FROM THE SOUTHEAST COAST INLAND TO THE APPLCHNS ALONG ITS ENTIRE PATH AS IT MOVE NORTH INTO THE NEW ENGLAND AREA. WIDEPREAD AMOUNST OF 1-3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM NORTHEAST FL AND GA NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND. RAUSCH/ROSENSTEIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 SOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 SOS Sexist boy speaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Sexist boy speaks. Yes I am a pig male chauvinist. I suppose if anything, it means another 2-4" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 Yes I am a pig male chauvinist. I suppose if anything, it means another 2-4" of rain. Treat me like the pig I am Yea probably another drencher, some hints of a more organized windier system though. Tides are back up although not as much as last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 This would be great and all, but I am supposed to be camping again that weekend...cwap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 New 12Z Euro is a little more intense and windier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 New 12Z Euro is a little more intense and windier. u need to get a life! j/k looks very interesting may actually be 2 systems over the next 7-12 days that come out of the G of M or NW CS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 u need to get a life! j/k looks very interesting may actually be 2 systems over the next 7-12 days that come out of the G of M or NW CS. I know, Sat sucks working 11 hours. Hoping to see a definition fall pattern begin in the next 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 I know, Sat sucks working 11 hours. Hoping to see a definition fall pattern begin in the next 3 weeks. Well i am sorry about your 11 ht work day. For Oct the next few days should be awesome. IMO the pattern over the next 4 perhaps 6 weeks will favor more than a few hybrid type systems and/or a couple/few Miller B 's. I think this fall at least thu early Nov will feature some fairly strong coastal systems.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Major, major wind damage deep deep into the interior..maybe worse than Irene was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Major, major wind damage deep deep into the interior..maybe worse than Irene was Marathon cancel? :sad: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Marathon cancel? :sad: Storm is Thursday into Friday..Saturday is dry and windy and 60 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 8, 2011 Share Posted October 8, 2011 Yes I am a pig male chauvinist. I suppose if anything, it means another 2-4" of rain. if you're correct about the rain, at the next G2G i will grab your a.ss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 9, 2011 Author Share Posted October 9, 2011 Well i am sorry about your 11 ht work day. For Oct the next few days should be awesome. IMO the pattern over the next 4 perhaps 6 weeks will favor more than a few hybrid type systems and/or a couple/few Miller B 's. I think this fall at least thu early Nov will feature some fairly strong coastal systems.... Yep, got to like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Euro is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Euro is meh Nice little embedded s/w that spins up the coast. Will break up the monotony of this weather right now. Could be some heavier elements of rain given the tropical connection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 if you're correct about the rain, at the next G2G i will grab your a.ss Nice. Remember 2-4" is a range....lol. In all honestly, I don't know if it will be that much, but there are some signals that it could be a 12-24hr period with some heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Looks like I have to put all other work mostly aside and sit on a tractor the next three days to get the fields cut (bush hogged), before the window closes totally. I don't enjoy this 75-80 junk in October, but it's giving me one chance finally to get on the fields.... The turkey vultures are loving all the gourmet moles I am scattering for them out there. u need to get a life! j/k looks very interesting may actually be 2 systems over the next 7-12 days that come out of the G of M or NW CS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Looks like Thurs/Fri will be the unsettled period as the tropical system off the FL coast gets pulled up the coast by the digging trough over the midwest. Could be some heavier bursts of rain given the connection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Looks like I have to put all other work mostly aside and sit on a tractor the next three days to get the fields cut (bush hogged), before the window closes totally. I don't enjoy this 75-80 junk in October, but it's giving me one chance finally to get on the fields.... The turkey vultures are loving all the gourmet moles I am scattering for them out there. That's almost like a mini inflow CCB into a deformation band right there on that radar. Wow. In any case, I think we may see some CF enhancement to this storm possibly. Not a true CF like in the winter, but something perhaps separating humid ese flow with more polar maritime ne flow. Downfall, is that we may see another convergence band set up along this feature...hopefully not in Peabody again...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 That's almost like a mini inflow CCB into a deformation band right there on that radar. Wow. In any case, I think we may see some CF enhancement to this storm possibly. Not a true CF like in the winter, but something perhaps separating humid ese flow with more polar maritime ne flow. Downfall, is that we may see another convergence band set up along this feature...hopefully not in Peabody again...lol. PWATs are high too, so it could really pour like a mofo if we can squeeze the atmosphere out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2011 Author Share Posted October 10, 2011 PWATs are high too, so it could really pour like a mofo if we can squeeze the atmosphere out. Yea SREFs, GEFS, NAM seem to like Boston to Portland for some serious rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Overall pretty meh looking..1-2 inches of rain and then it's gone as we dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Yea SREFs, GEFS, NAM seem to like Boston to Portland for some serious rain. Well something to watch going forward I guess. It is possible it's more of a meh rain event, but could be one of those 6hr short duration downpours too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 10, 2011 Share Posted October 10, 2011 Overall pretty meh looking..1-2 inches of rain and then it's gone as we dryslot That's how the last one looked, and then parts of the area had almost 6" of rain in 2 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2011 Author Share Posted October 10, 2011 Well something to watch going forward I guess. It is possible it's more of a meh rain event, but could be one of those 6hr short duration downpours too. That was a great spinup last night , 20 foot surf, winds to 75, cool SSTs. Looking just meh here wind wise but will feel like a raw fall storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 10, 2011 Author Share Posted October 10, 2011 That's how the last one looked, and then parts of the area had almost 6" of rain in 2 hrs. The potential is there with that PWAT value so high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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