IrishRob17 Posted August 27, 2011 Author Share Posted August 27, 2011 I don't know, I see a lot of rain to our southwest and I don't believe that the PRE has even started to set up yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 The new NAM says forget the LI landfall track as best as I can tell. NAM looks like its coming up the HRV with her. There was another model a few days ago that showed this solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xram Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Looks like we are in for a rough ride. Many trees will be uprooted due to the wet ground and widespread power outages will occur. Have my generator all ready to go with plenty of spare gas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 If correct, the 12Z NAM western track is a huge surge problem for NYC and other areas around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Watching radar, the same general area 60 nm north/northwest from the center of the storm has been throwing up numerious short lived meso's most of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Looks like most of the action is gonna be on the western side of the storm. 10" of rain along with sustained TS force winds is probably what we have in store for us.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Watching radar, the same general area 60 nm north/northwest from the center of the storm has been throwing up numerious short lived meso's most of the day. And if the current track holds that would put us right in that zone.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 27, 2011 Share Posted August 27, 2011 Crazy radar precip totals just west of the center in VA. If we "just" get 6 inches its a win. Some areas inside the white area are at 15.76 inches of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Tornado watch for parts of HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Atlantic City under a Warning now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Winds have picked up nicely in the last 20 mins or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Rut Roh O&R Ready to Fight Storm as Hurricane Irene Approaches PEARL RIVER, NY Aug. 26, 2011 — Orange and Rockland Utilities, Inc. (O&R) declared a full-scale Storm Alert this morning and further ramped up preparations to perform extensive emergency repairs to the widespread damage to the electric and gas systems expected from Hurricane Irene as it howls along the Atlantic seaboard this weekend. Damage from the hurricane is expected to be profound. O&R Vice President of Operations James Tarpey said, "Based on the latest weather forecasts, O&R anticipates that it may have to virtually rebuild much of its electric system in Irene’s wake, and that complete service restoration could be measured in weeks instead of days." He added, "We expect this unprecedented storm to potentially impact more than half of our 300,000 electric customers. And, we anticipate extensive flooding that will result in our being forced to cut gas and electric service to affected homes and businesses for safety reasons." To put the expected damage in perspective, Tropical Storm Floyd in 1999 resulted in power outages to 150,000 O&R customers — half the O&R system. Service restoration to all affected customers was completed within two weeks. Hurricane Irene is predicted to be much worse in terms of its severity, scope and impact on all the surrounding East Coast utilities. O&R also expects substantial difficulties working safely because of flooding, downed trees and high winds. The flooding and downed trees also will present ongoing access problems to damage sites for crews. Then, because of expected extensive damage, reconstruction will far more labor-intensive than repair work. Also, O&R cannot restore electric service to flood-damaged buildings until necessary repairs are made and then inspected and certified by an independent insurance underwriter. Tarpey said, "We ask for the public's understanding and patience during the storm recovery process. As long as we are aware that you, or your area, are out of service, we will restore service as resources become available. In areas where damage may be extensive, significant resources and time may be required for us to rebuild your service." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 A deluge of rain here in New Paltz, relentless for almost an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Yeah rebuild all the lines every time a bad windstorm occurs. I don't know what kind of scam they are running in this country never burying the lines. It's absurd really. Most of western Europe buried their lines by the 70's or earlier. It must create an awful lot of work every time they have to put all those above ground lines back in place. BTW ..I saw on Fox News that the area around Kill devil Hills, Hatteras etc. did bury their lines and they didn't lose power today! Rut Roh O&R Ready to Fight Storm as Hurricane Irene Approaches PEARL RIVER, NY Aug. 26, 2011 — Orange and Rockland Utilities, Inc. (O&R) declared a full-scale Storm Alert this morning and further ramped up preparations to perform extensive emergency repairs to the widespread damage to the electric and gas systems expected from Hurricane Irene as it howls along the Atlantic seaboard this weekend. Damage from the hurricane is expected to be profound. O&R Vice President of Operations James Tarpey said, "Based on the latest weather forecasts, O&R anticipates that it may have to virtually rebuild much of its electric system in Irene’s wake, and that complete service restoration could be measured in weeks instead of days." He added, "We expect this unprecedented storm to potentially impact more than half of our 300,000 electric customers. And, we anticipate extensive flooding that will result in our being forced to cut gas and electric service to affected homes and businesses for safety reasons." To put the expected damage in perspective, Tropical Storm Floyd in 1999 resulted in power outages to 150,000 O&R customers — half the O&R system. Service restoration to all affected customers was completed within two weeks. Hurricane Irene is predicted to be much worse in terms of its severity, scope and impact on all the surrounding East Coast utilities. O&R also expects substantial difficulties working safely because of flooding, downed trees and high winds. The flooding and downed trees also will present ongoing access problems to damage sites for crews. Then, because of expected extensive damage, reconstruction will far more labor-intensive than repair work. Also, O&R cannot restore electric service to flood-damaged buildings until necessary repairs are made and then inspected and certified by an independent insurance underwriter. Tarpey said, "We ask for the public's understanding and patience during the storm recovery process. As long as we are aware that you, or your area, are out of service, we will restore service as resources become available. In areas where damage may be extensive, significant resources and time may be required for us to rebuild your service." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 .84" of rain so far.. Highest gust of 25mph. I tethered my phone so if I lose power I still have internet access Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Had 1.54 inches of rain so far. Flash flood warnings now out for Greene and Ulster Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Over 4" now, really getting gusty as I'm sure it is everywhere else. My wife is heading to work and has encountered a number of large branches and trees down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 The branches or trees, she wasn't sure which, that my wife encountered were here in the park. The rest of her ride, mostly on 84 to Newburgh, was uneventful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 The branches or trees, she wasn't sure which, that my wife encountered were here in the park. The rest of her ride, mostly on 84 to Newburgh, was uneventful. Rob what is your wind and highest gust? @ the ECS ENE 7 Mph High Gust 38 Mph at 05:39am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Only 15 mph, I rarely get high wind readings here, too many trees around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Jim Cantore seems almost pissed that this is more of a nor'easter than a hurricane now, kinda funny to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 THENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THEWALLKILL RIVER AT GARDINER... HEAVY RAIN FROM HURRICANE IRENE CONTINUES TO FALLACROSS THE REGION. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING AS IRENE STARTSTO MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON, NY HAS ISSUEDA * FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WALLKILL RIVER AT GARDINER * FROM THIS MORNING UNTILTUESDAY MORNING * AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.1 FEET * RECORD FLOODING ISFORECAST * FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET * THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CRESTOF 19.8 FEET ON OCT 16 1955. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Only 15 mph, I rarely get high wind readings here, too many trees around here MGJ NE 26 G 56 MPH Surge coming in @ Long Beach NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Wow, a potential record stage. I can't see the river with leaves on the trees, I'll walk down there later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Look at the center bottom of the image, the small blue icons represent the flight path of the Hurricane Hunter plane on its last run. A very rare sight so close to NYC.and OKX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Wow, a potential record stage. I can't see the river with leaves on the trees, I'll walk down there later today. Will that height cause any issues by you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 the last few frames of the OKX radar incicate a collapse of the circulation around the center of Irene. All precip seems to be moving north and not rotating around the center. The wind is at times screaming imby in the last feew minutes for the first time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 28, 2011 Author Share Posted August 28, 2011 Luckily no, I sit about 40 feet or do above the river, if my house floods from the then were all fooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Jim Cantore seems almost pissed that this is more of a nor'easter than a hurricane now, kinda funny to watch. Poor Jim, is he out in the field or the studio? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJay Posted August 28, 2011 Share Posted August 28, 2011 Not awful as of now but winds are up atm imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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