ILoveWinter
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Everything posted by ILoveWinter
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completely agree that it'll take a while to saturate, though was a bit surprised to see echoes already making it up there
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Reports of some snow already in DC/MD area and radar showing some returns up to C NJ (maybe some Virga). Perhaps an earlier start time is on the table?
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The stall potential for this makes things quite interesting, it's been a while since we've had one of those to track!
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Seems like a BM track, what's causing the mix? Lack of a fresh High supplying cold air or not strong enough of a storm to generate its own? Something else?
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For snowmaps, it depends on how knowledgable people are about the weather (more so meaning less gullible). Doubt a majority on this forum would believe any of them verbatim 5-6 days out but for the gen public? Different story all together!
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Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Still enough lead time so that the ensembles will be worth a look. Lets see. -
Snow-ice-rain for the NYC forum 7PM Mon 1/25-6AM Wednesday 1/27
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Rare to see a Philly special with nearly nothing in DC and a bit in NYC -
December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
10"- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snowing heavily now in the UWS, impressive!- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow in the UWS though not not quite indicative if you looked at the radar- 1,011 replies
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Truthfully I fell asleep so I missed the 1-6AM period but I took a walk at around 630 last night and it was insane!
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think we'll get there and if it verifies, I wouldn't call this storm a bust- 1,011 replies
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Yea I agree, here in the UWS it only sleeted for an hour, so I think we would have done quite well if we maintained the heavy rates that we had earlier in the evening
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Actually coming down at a decent clip now in the UWS, maybe we can squeeze another .5-1" until this all ends- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
14.7" from 1AM-345AM, insane (5.35"/hr rate)- 1,011 replies
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I’d guess CPK will end up over 8 with the final measurement so it would be within guidance albeit on the lower end of the range.
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yea it's ripping in the UWS and has been at least moderate for several hours now with no pingers. Maybe the intensity has helped to keep us all snow.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I'm in the UWS and haven't noticed any pingers all night- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Crazy heavy snow in the UWS, just took my 7 year old daughter out for a jeb and she loved it (gotta get them hooked early!)- 1,011 replies
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Been flurrying now for 15 mins near Lincoln Center so should be up your way in a bit Edit: all of a sudden transitioned to a steadier light snow
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
ILoveWinter replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Flurries in the UWS- 1,011 replies
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Somewhat torn on how much of an impact the mid level warming has on the immediate NYC metro. Experience over the past several years tells me to assume it will be more than expected (a la NAM for this storm) so I will do just that if only to temper expectations. Will be happy with 7-9 here in Manhattan.
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Still more than 48 hours away, I'd expect some waffling
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