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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    If @psuhoffman doesn’t agree to host all of us for the night, what is this board even for?
  2. NorthArlington101
    For those keeping track at home
  3. NorthArlington101
    discrete, trackable event by the end of the weekend? by god, @WxUSAF pulled off his call.
  4. NorthArlington101
    I’ve been trolling a bit in the long range thread but I’m actually a believer. That said, I know I “joked” a couple days ago about Tomer not being into this pattern. It really doesn’t seem like he is. I know he’s more focused on NYC than DC, but he at least ostensibly bunches them together in his analysis. https://x.com/burgwx/status/1754303304689914314?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg He’s a smart fella. We’ve got smart fellas here too, of course.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Not to be a hater, but it was said several times we were supposed to be tracking discrete threats by this weekend. In a weird way, I guess we are… they are just 15 days out.
  6. NorthArlington101
    This is why we lose people. We’re looking 3 weeks ahead (fine… 2.5) and have been tracking epic patterns for weeks. I think it’s actually a credit to modeling that I’m starting to go insane. We’ve seen this look for so long you’d swear up and down it’s been 15 days away for a month. And it’s still 15 days away.
  7. NorthArlington101
    The control has the one MECS blow through on Mar. 14. I won’t make it that long
  8. NorthArlington101
    Gotta get some light trolling out before we have something trackable. Unless we never do, in which case I guess it’s open season
  9. NorthArlington101
    Is that our HECS?
  10. NorthArlington101
    2013-2014 was a great winter! I’d take that again. Hopefully that’s where we’re going.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I remember when I pulled the EURO control for last week (as in seeing how much snow it showed for the week we just went through) and it had an area wide 4-10” with like 3 back to back events. At least when that becomes the OP we’ll have fun outcomes to look at again
  12. NorthArlington101
    I totally understand the pattern is epic and I don’t know why I’m taking on the role of deb but how come we still can’t buy a digital snowstorm within 16 days
  13. NorthArlington101
    I’m on pins and needles waiting for the Feb. 16 cutter
  14. NorthArlington101
    Tomer says see you in 2025 https://x.com/burgwx/status/1753582543599714764?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  15. NorthArlington101
    Next
  16. NorthArlington101
    I’m willing to believe there has been no can kick until I read that the GEFS is amazing at the end of its run… which I swear to god we said 5 days ago. Maybe it’s different levels of amazing
  17. NorthArlington101
    This pattern change feels like it’s been 15 days away for 3 weeks… even if it hasn’t been
  18. NorthArlington101
    https://x.com/burgwx/status/1752750920650150368?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg can we get Tomer to start posting here?
  19. NorthArlington101
    DC’s climate these days is basically the same as Brownsville
  20. NorthArlington101
    I don’t know if I look at that and see dead… I see long shot. Seen a few folks on Twitter arguing it’s trending better. We’ve got a couple days to make something happen
  21. NorthArlington101
    Last banter post I’ll do in here today… I can’t get with a system that calls the two storms we had in January both SECS. If all but the quietest residential streets are cleared in one day it’s just a storm
  22. NorthArlington101
    I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+
  23. NorthArlington101
    We’ve even tracking discrete threats! We’ve had 2 storm threads made this past week
  24. NorthArlington101
    Of the members that get precip up here it looks like a roughly 50/50 split between snow and rain
  25. NorthArlington101
    Unironically it’s where we want it at this range. I’d even take it there 5 days to go. Problem I think is temps. Not sure they are workable
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