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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
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  2. NorthArlington101
    I’m willing to believe there has been no can kick until I read that the GEFS is amazing at the end of its run… which I swear to god we said 5 days ago. Maybe it’s different levels of amazing
  3. NorthArlington101
    This pattern change feels like it’s been 15 days away for 3 weeks… even if it hasn’t been
  4. NorthArlington101
    https://x.com/burgwx/status/1752750920650150368?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg can we get Tomer to start posting here?
  5. NorthArlington101
    DC’s climate these days is basically the same as Brownsville
  6. NorthArlington101
    I don’t know if I look at that and see dead… I see long shot. Seen a few folks on Twitter arguing it’s trending better. We’ve got a couple days to make something happen
  7. NorthArlington101
    Last banter post I’ll do in here today… I can’t get with a system that calls the two storms we had in January both SECS. If all but the quietest residential streets are cleared in one day it’s just a storm
  8. NorthArlington101
    I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+
  9. NorthArlington101
    We’ve even tracking discrete threats! We’ve had 2 storm threads made this past week
  10. NorthArlington101
    Of the members that get precip up here it looks like a roughly 50/50 split between snow and rain
  11. NorthArlington101
    Unironically it’s where we want it at this range. I’d even take it there 5 days to go. Problem I think is temps. Not sure they are workable
  12. NorthArlington101
    Seems like a tall task honestly. Going to start preparing my panic so I’m in peak form by the 10th
  13. NorthArlington101
    Well, the NAM had the general idea of really heavy pockets of precip that “could’ve” flipped the rain to snow, maybe with better timing.
  14. NorthArlington101
    We know Travis Kelce is gonna get lucky tonight… maybe we can too
  15. NorthArlington101
    Agree for shorter-term. Mid-Long range… basically anything is on the table Meant to respond to @Maestrobjwa
  16. NorthArlington101
    I think temps are the real problem. I’d be interested not too far west of the Beltway. Don’t see this working out in the cities. But we’re due for one of those
  17. NorthArlington101
    Can’t ask for much more at that range.
  18. NorthArlington101
    to channel DT a bit… that 18z GEFS… WOOF
  19. NorthArlington101
    WxBell has it as more rain than snow around here. Toss
  20. NorthArlington101
    Flies in at a funny angle for sure. Can’t remember anything like that
  21. NorthArlington101
    Are we ignoring the GFS/CMC/EURO all having a clipper push through on Wednesday? Doesn’t look super exciting but favored spots get T-2” out of it. Only 5 days out
  22. NorthArlington101
    Anyone ever chased a true Carolina Crusher or down to VA beach? I’d love to see some serious snow by the ocean but I feel like you could wait days to be plowed out… if they’ve got plows down there
  23. NorthArlington101
    HRRR and 3k now look like the 12k. We probably flip to snow at some point, especially favored zones. Nothing sticks unless someone somewhere gets some heavy precip, then maybe at night with rates someone’s snowboard could get something. That’s how I see it
  24. NorthArlington101
    Great sunset alert!
  25. NorthArlington101
    I mean the 12k was okay. I guess there is a chance. I’m not staking my personal reputation and solid forum wide voodoo though
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