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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    3k doesn’t look the same at all, which is too bad. I think we need that inland low to die out and the transfer to be faster. LP was also obviously in a better spot on the 12k. The Tuesday storm did trend NW with the coastal precip shield so maybe we end up having to root for that. Or maybe I’m super wrong
  2. NorthArlington101
    Live and die by the GRAF
  3. NorthArlington101
    It's over
  4. NorthArlington101
    3k is no bueno
  5. NorthArlington101
  6. NorthArlington101
    i fear we might be about to get split? but at least that gives the southern band a chance to trend north
  7. NorthArlington101
    Still really need that vort pass 50 miles further south, one way or the other. More confluence, more dig, whatever.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I updated the post. Basically just that he expects an area of enhanced snowfall with good ratios not too far to the north side of the intensifying vort passing through. Doesn't think it's translating to the surface yet, rolling with 500mb over surface, etc etc
  9. NorthArlington101
    well I just sat through a Bernie Rayno video out of respect for my old employer and they (AccuWeather) are still running with 3-6" for the area. He's tossing the surface depiction of the GFS/EURO for now - intensifying vort to our south is enough for them to go bold.
  10. NorthArlington101
    March 15-31 is gonna go crazy this year
  11. NorthArlington101
    I think you should create the 2nd thread for this event
  12. NorthArlington101
    yeah - it's drying up. Room for things to go the other way, obviously, but slightly dissapointing. Rates also suck. Most people aren't going above 0.25"/hr and that's with some Kuchera generosity. Looking less likely to be modestly disruptive on Friday and moreso just a snowpack refresher (which is still nice!)
  13. NorthArlington101
  14. NorthArlington101
    I believe you but one way or another it's trended worse for DCA for ~4 runs in a row now. Very willing to believe it just doesn't have a good handle on precip and winners likely won't be decided til the day of. Doesn't mean I don't want to stare at a prettier result
  15. NorthArlington101
    this is unacceptable... you know what to do
  16. NorthArlington101
    did you cancel your meeting?
  17. NorthArlington101
    https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Sure why not
  18. NorthArlington101
    yeah, it took a lot of precip away further south. the 0.2" line used to be down by RIC... they now get maybe 0.05". it's slightly wetter where it hits, but a scary outcome.
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
  21. NorthArlington101
  22. NorthArlington101
    Psuedo did a lot of work in my head that might've not translated. I think a smart bet right now would be 1-2"... but the 4-8" or @Eskimo Joe's 5-9" pronouncement of earlier seems like a feasible shift with 3 days left still.
  23. NorthArlington101
    00z RGEM is a loser unless you are on the PA/MD border.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Has an inch before dawn so the "storm only counts if it has snow on the roads" (sorta me) crowd would probably be satisfied.
  25. NorthArlington101
    I like this storm. Probably have room up until 36-48 hours for a psuedo-major surprise.
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