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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+
  2. We’ve even tracking discrete threats! We’ve had 2 storm threads made this past week
  3. Of the members that get precip up here it looks like a roughly 50/50 split between snow and rain
  4. Unironically it’s where we want it at this range. I’d even take it there 5 days to go. Problem I think is temps. Not sure they are workable
  5. Seems like a tall task honestly. Going to start preparing my panic so I’m in peak form by the 10th
  6. Well, the NAM had the general idea of really heavy pockets of precip that “could’ve” flipped the rain to snow, maybe with better timing.
  7. We know Travis Kelce is gonna get lucky tonight… maybe we can too
  8. Agree for shorter-term. Mid-Long range… basically anything is on the table Meant to respond to @Maestrobjwa
  9. I think temps are the real problem. I’d be interested not too far west of the Beltway. Don’t see this working out in the cities. But we’re due for one of those
  10. Flies in at a funny angle for sure. Can’t remember anything like that
  11. Are we ignoring the GFS/CMC/EURO all having a clipper push through on Wednesday? Doesn’t look super exciting but favored spots get T-2” out of it. Only 5 days out
  12. Anyone ever chased a true Carolina Crusher or down to VA beach? I’d love to see some serious snow by the ocean but I feel like you could wait days to be plowed out… if they’ve got plows down there
  13. HRRR and 3k now look like the 12k. We probably flip to snow at some point, especially favored zones. Nothing sticks unless someone somewhere gets some heavy precip, then maybe at night with rates someone’s snowboard could get something. That’s how I see it
  14. I mean the 12k was okay. I guess there is a chance. I’m not staking my personal reputation and solid forum wide voodoo though
  15. all you chief - I’ll start the second thread that’ll bring the storm back from the brink… if it’s not already there
  16. 12z EURO actually flips folks to a bit of snow (well… probably a mix) Sunday afternoon/night
  17. I think I’m doing DC wrong. Maybe it’s cause I grew up in Arlington, but I’m counting down the days til it makes sense for me to move back into Arlington Anyway the euro is out to hour 60. Looks like rain
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