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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Consistently better than other models, but it folded like a lawn chair for a shot at 4-5” in our metros.
  2. NorthArlington101
    It doesn’t matter at all really but I like seeing the GFS throw out a “trackable” bone day 9. Stretches with truly nothing are so boring
  3. NorthArlington101
    It’s caving [emoji3064]
  4. NorthArlington101
    RGEM still looks dry based on the early maps. Can’t tell if it made any subtle moves
  5. NorthArlington101
    Ground temps were a slight problem for DC-east, that’s true. The NAM wasn’t offering a cold smoke solution. Imagine it wouldn’t have any trouble on the grass, though, especially if we maintain snow cover through tomorrow, which we mostly should.
  6. NorthArlington101
    It actually gets the .2” line basically to DC. Kuchera is worse than the 10:1 looking at it. Unfortunately Leesburg looks like Kansas during the dust bowl. Sorry friend
  7. NorthArlington101
    Still going in Philly/NYC
  8. NorthArlington101
    3k doesn’t look the same at all, which is too bad. I think we need that inland low to die out and the transfer to be faster. LP was also obviously in a better spot on the 12k. The Tuesday storm did trend NW with the coastal precip shield so maybe we end up having to root for that. Or maybe I’m super wrong
  9. NorthArlington101
    Live and die by the GRAF
  10. NorthArlington101
    It's over
  11. NorthArlington101
    3k is no bueno
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
    i fear we might be about to get split? but at least that gives the southern band a chance to trend north
  14. NorthArlington101
    Still really need that vort pass 50 miles further south, one way or the other. More confluence, more dig, whatever.
  15. NorthArlington101
    I updated the post. Basically just that he expects an area of enhanced snowfall with good ratios not too far to the north side of the intensifying vort passing through. Doesn't think it's translating to the surface yet, rolling with 500mb over surface, etc etc
  16. NorthArlington101
    well I just sat through a Bernie Rayno video out of respect for my old employer and they (AccuWeather) are still running with 3-6" for the area. He's tossing the surface depiction of the GFS/EURO for now - intensifying vort to our south is enough for them to go bold.
  17. NorthArlington101
    March 15-31 is gonna go crazy this year
  18. NorthArlington101
    I think you should create the 2nd thread for this event
  19. NorthArlington101
    yeah - it's drying up. Room for things to go the other way, obviously, but slightly dissapointing. Rates also suck. Most people aren't going above 0.25"/hr and that's with some Kuchera generosity. Looking less likely to be modestly disruptive on Friday and moreso just a snowpack refresher (which is still nice!)
  20. NorthArlington101
  21. NorthArlington101
    I believe you but one way or another it's trended worse for DCA for ~4 runs in a row now. Very willing to believe it just doesn't have a good handle on precip and winners likely won't be decided til the day of. Doesn't mean I don't want to stare at a prettier result
  22. NorthArlington101
    this is unacceptable... you know what to do
  23. NorthArlington101
    did you cancel your meeting?
  24. NorthArlington101
    https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Sure why not
  25. NorthArlington101
    yeah, it took a lot of precip away further south. the 0.2" line used to be down by RIC... they now get maybe 0.05". it's slightly wetter where it hits, but a scary outcome.
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