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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
NYC kinda needs this one. Their snow drought is arguably worse than ours at this point. If it wanted to jump another 150 miles south, I wouldn’t stop it though -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
The good Twitter Mets are observing a pretty stout shift southward in the cutoff low over the plains. Could save NE MD. Heck… if it’s stout enough… -
Only confirmed way to get snow these days is to have a massive lake nearby
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April 8th Eclipse- Last Easy One To See In My Lifetime
NorthArlington101 replied to Interstate's topic in Mid Atlantic
I know you are right! I'm very lazy... inertia often wins. Have the PTO to support the journey, though, assuming weather holds in a drivable distance. Need to make someone go with me to lock it in. -
Beggars can’t be choosers
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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April 8th Eclipse- Last Easy One To See In My Lifetime
NorthArlington101 replied to Interstate's topic in Mid Atlantic
Also ordered my glasses yesterday! If I chicken out and don’t go anywhere I at least want to be able to stare at the sun for a bit -
12z control is a modest hit. Something at least
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nah… it is. Caved -
12z EURO looks colder for PD. We'll see shortly... might still be too suppressed
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
They lost 8" of snow this run. They've got some nice people there but I prefer when we all win and lose together. Sorry even worse though... Boston gained like 8". Still time for them to go down in flames too -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Bad news folks - EURO doesn't look like the UKIE. Went north and joined the screw NYC crew -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
That southern cutoff tho. Wacky depiction. Curious what the output on Pivotal would be (run might've broke Pivotal) or if someone has a WeatherModels account. -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
00Z CFS looked pretty good -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Telling for SNE. Misery loves company. And I love company -
Need to let ships emit SO2 again. Good idea to curb it... bad unintended consequences. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/lower-sulfur-warmer-oceans-scientists-debate-unintended-impact-of-imo-2020/
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April 8th Eclipse- Last Easy One To See In My Lifetime
NorthArlington101 replied to Interstate's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ve considered it. A smart person would’ve booked refundable hotels in different spots and waited til a few days before to pick the best shot based on the forecast. If I pull it off… I’m probably driving somewhere the day before and sleeping in my car -
That’s actually what’s been scaring me the most. No real cold. The ens look below normal but it’s below normal in late Feb. and early March… it takes a little more especially if the time of day ends up not ideal.
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m comparing it to the 06z EPS since that was a decent run and I see no reason to panic over the NAM yet. Well know soon enough ig -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
How far out are you? I’m stuck at 39. Nothing comes out slower than the NAM when someone is watching it -
fwiw… the days of the hits are PDIII MECS (long duration 10-12”) Mar 3-4 HECS (20-30 central VA, PSU fringed with 8”) March 25 SECS (end of run, at least 6-8”) how could a bad pattern produce that EPS Control run [emoji6]
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If anything I’m a double agent pushing people over the edge. I’m still tracking the VDay storm. I’ll be tracking through May if we’re unlucky enough to get the chance
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2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’ll have shifted 200 miles south by then. You’ll wish you stayed Here’s the EPS median gif. Similar story. 06z was the biggest tick. -
2024 Valentines Day Who the Hell Knows - Comeback Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to DDweatherman's topic in Mid Atlantic
as @DDweatherman just showed it has continued to be the world’s slowest bleed south with the EPS mean. Looks about identical to the GEFS mean now.