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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Thanks! Best of luck… hope you are right.
  2. NorthArlington101
    HRRR is gonna work for anyone DC-north again. I’d give up my Super Bowl gambling winnings for another 50 miles south though
  3. NorthArlington101
    I’ll ask what I always ask… what’s your forecast given what you are seeing?
  4. NorthArlington101
    Yes because that guarantees a south trend all the way down to Central VA
  5. NorthArlington101
    sorry to kill the excitement but Pivotal's maps are bad. Still... reasonably good north of the Beltway
  6. NorthArlington101
    I'm waiting for the wxbell map. Pivotal has been far too brutal
  7. NorthArlington101
    weenie mode... but HRRR was a cave to the RAP's depiction. Much heavier precip once we flip to snow. Just saying it how it showed... no comment on likelihood
  8. NorthArlington101
    HRRR smokes us. Best run yet. @Weather Willthe changeover difference was maybe 15 minutes, tbh
  9. NorthArlington101
    I can't get the site to load right now for whatever reason - but you can learn more about it here: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/graphcast_medium-t-z Graphcast is Google's AI model. The ECWMF runs it after initializing it off it's data, I think
  10. NorthArlington101
    it reminds me of when the HDRPS had 35" inches of snow for Baltimore with no other guidance really agreeing 2 days out in 2022? 2021?. Except with ~15 hours til go time. I think we know how it'll go
  11. NorthArlington101
    apparently maybe is the answer to my rhetorical question above? also came back this far in the thread to give a shoutout to the AI Euro. Looks pretty good right now.
  12. NorthArlington101
    lol it has 9" of 10:1 in DC
  13. NorthArlington101
    RGEM says no unless you are in NE MD. Luckily it's the 2nd best model that starts with R
  14. NorthArlington101
    Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse
  15. NorthArlington101
    well... there's a first time for everything. We live in a new climate
  16. NorthArlington101
    Surface is shot but this could be snow at DCA by HR17, no? maybe barely sleet? HRRR is showing "sleet" til hr19
  17. NorthArlington101
    good news for me
  18. NorthArlington101
    Brutal fall line cutoff. I need more
  19. NorthArlington101
    WxBell = best maps. It's basically the same as 06z.
  20. NorthArlington101
    RAP does what it does because of rates more than anything, imo. I think it's probably wayyyy to heavy. But it's plausible imo to use that word loosely.
  21. NorthArlington101
    you mean the best short-range models America has to offer? Yeah
  22. NorthArlington101
    yeah RAP says everyone needs WSW stat. and as @Ravens94 would say... still going
  23. NorthArlington101
    If the EURO is right it's gonna be a tough night in the NYC subforum
  24. NorthArlington101
    I didn't realize the RAP was updated w/ the HRRR in 2020... i always kinda thought it was a joke.
  25. NorthArlington101
    RAP stands for Really Always Perfect model... right?
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