NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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the Australian is a whiff
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So every ens other than the GFS (which isn’t shabby) has a 4” 24hr snow mean? Gonna snow again somewhere here, folks
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There has been lots of careful measuring to make sure my measurements match others in the area… so every little bit helps. Slant stick if you have to.
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Like a couple tenths… but every tenth of an inch matters!
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Heckuva 24hr signal 50th percentile good too
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EPS snow mean basically identical to 00z
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Anything in our area is only from this storm
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CMC - better than nothing (unless you'd be the one getting nothing)
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not sure anyone ever posted a GFS map without Saturday's "event"?
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Pretty familiar to where we were for Tuesday’s storm - gives me fairly good confidence it’ll snow somewhere in this area.
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Swear something is broken with the CMC Kuchera - 10:1 for a slightly better picture
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Get rocked pretty good at 180 at least
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Shitty maps show it bringing something up the coast but can’t tell if it’s anything super exciting
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My biggest takeaway from this GFS run was we should consider a thread for Saturday if the EURO shows anything.
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Not gonna work this run, sliding offshore
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Very light snow moving in at hr153 (4am Wed)
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I’m eyeing it but don’t know enough about what I’m looking for honestly - this kind of system has too many pieces for me. I like the look on radar slightly better at least lol through 144. But I make literally zero promises
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I wanted to be impressed this year - which is kind of my opinion on AI in general lol. It’s consistency is admirable, but think a run of remarkable consistency in the AIFS means the same thing as a consistent run in any model… take it seriously then.
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Seasonal (or a couple year…) pattern. @Bob Chill’s train tracks. DC is forced to get 6-8” on the bubble while SE MD folks get rich.
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I’ll take that and call it a week
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Are we rich already? This is alright?
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Looks kinda like this 18z GFS. Not amazing, but would roll with it if we gotta
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yeah, if it happens that's not nothing. modest consolation prize?
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GEFS has a respectable mean. Like 66% of this falls within 24 hours - but just to be inclusive of the whole period it's the best run so far for the 50th percentile map in a 24 hour window - more likely then not it does "something" is how I like to read these
