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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Yep - it pushed the start time back about 4 hours and pushed the heavy snow overnight. For two runs that end pretty much identical, you can see how much slower the accumulating snow is. Overnight is helpful, though
  2. 12z EURO has the CAD hang on better for the Pt.2 (Pt. 3?) Wednesday night-Thursday morning. Pretty icy for NMD, I-81
  3. wetter, def a hair souther. Ends up being noise. Apologies for the roller coaster
  4. wow, yeah. Delayed not denied. Much heavier early Wednesday morning.
  5. yep - deleted my post. It's a little nuanced since the southern "edge" really didn't move all that south, but the heaviest band did and the northern fringe is gone. Sorta semantics but the heavy band is what's important to us.
  6. Got some initial concerns with this EURO run at hr50 - but gonna let it play. Just looks weaker
  7. Setting the table for something else at Day 10 too
  8. I was gonna say it’s kinda GFS-like, but maybe you are further in the run.
  9. They try to - but not sure the GFS succeeds. I have no ill-will toward the RIC folks but the fact that the EURO shows nothing like that has to raise substantial flags.
  10. GFS not too far from something Friday - hits south VA.
  11. @stormtrackerexpand this thread to cover Thursday? GFS now shows pretty much no stoppage in the snow - albeit very very light, on Wednesday
  12. It’s a jog south IMO - storm still has the moisture.
  13. Don’t think it’s gonna be as good, though
  14. The uncertainties about temperatures and rates do knock this down - they are predicting what sticks. Big items on my list today are seeing if the can get temps down and/or get the heaviest after dark. Don’t want to burn the best stuff before 6pm.
  15. No real directional shift, just wetter. if it goes this way it’s pretty funny the ens wouldve nailed it 8 days out, lost it, then found it again
  16. I don’t see that at all between 18z and 00z tbh The southern end hasn’t moved… maybe that’s what I’m really talking about
  17. It’s astounding what a couple runs does to your expectations. Now I’m gonna be salty if I only get 3”
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