You've been a fan of this pre-coastal stuff for a few days now - does it mean anything at all that the short-range models got the start time really wrong? Is this an earlier start, earlier finish kind of deal or is this "bonus."
Having to remind myself this is just bonus -- HRRR, which ain't doing great right now I'll admit, still gets us to 2.5" (seems extreme) but the best stuff isn't progged till like 7-8... that's what I'm telling myself at least
Short-res models seemed to miss this stuff, as they did the precip north of CHO (which I don't actually know if it's making it to the ground). Weenie handbook says it means there is plenty of juice up above us.