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Everything posted by lookingnorth
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Historic Pacific Northwest Heatwave of 2021
lookingnorth replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I didn't even see that the second half of the list was for places in Washington.- 323 replies
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Historic Pacific Northwest Heatwave of 2021
lookingnorth replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
If those 119's are verified, that would be a state record for Idaho, right?- 323 replies
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Historic Pacific Northwest Heatwave of 2021
lookingnorth replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Looks like some places broke their daily records by over 10°C!- 323 replies
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Central/Western Medium-Long Range Discussion
lookingnorth replied to andyhb's topic in Central/Western States
It looks like the hot Northwest/cool Southern Plains setup will continue for the next couple weeks. -
OK/AR/KS/MO Spring 2021 Discussion
lookingnorth replied to OKTWISTER's topic in Central/Western States
It looks warmer than average and uneventful for the near future. -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2020-2021 "Winter" Discussion
lookingnorth replied to JoMo's topic in Central/Western States
What was the CPC showing for February? -
MO/KS/AR/OK 2020-2021 "Winter" Discussion
lookingnorth replied to JoMo's topic in Central/Western States
It's bizarre seeing it run 15-25 degrees warmer than the GFS from 96-168 hours out. It would be a pretty wimpy cold snap if the Euro verified, not even the coldest we've seen this winter. -
I have no idea why the dry adiabatic lapse rate is so great in the chart. I've only ever used Skew-T log-P charts, not emagrams. However, the moist adiabatic lapse rate varies significantly based on temperature, and 5.9K/km is well within the range of possibility. The average environmental lapse rate is not the same as the average moist lapse rate because sometimes the atmosphere will be dry adiabatic, sometimes there will be an inversion, etc. But since the atmosphere is often moist adiabatic, the two happen to be similar.
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I'm not an expert either, but I did a class project on it last spring and that's basically what I found. The change in lapse rates thing is new to me, but it makes total sense.
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Here's where you can find the April NC average temperature departure. For some reason the mapping feature isn't working, but the table is still there. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/statewide/mapping/110/tavg/202004/1/value
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Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
Update: there's now a sleet/freezing rain mix in Norman. -
Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
It's just 30F and cloudy here, with no snow or sleet yet. But I did see a bit of drizzle this evening. -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
lookingnorth replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Raleigh's up to a 29% chance of blanking this winter just given climo on no measurable snow thru the 25th. Meanwhile, OKC luckily avoided blanking on winter with a whopping 0.1" of snow on the morning of the 22nd when I was asleep. -
I just wanna pop in from Oklahoma and say that we've been doing poorly in the snow department as well. Oklahoma City averages 8" of snow a winter and has only gotten 9.5" total since March 2015. That's more like what you'd expect from a place like Dallas. And the past two winters had below-normal temperatures, so we've just had a lot of dry, windy cold, which is annoying
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The 5-day mean is still in third place for lowest extent, but it's near a lot of other years.
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Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
Oklahoma set a new snowfall record for the month of October! https://twitter.com/NWSNorman/status/1187780076026249216 It was just depressingly cold and rainy here in Norman, but I'd rather not have snow until after Thanksgiving anyway, so I can't be too disappointed. -
Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
We might get one of our earliest freezes on record here in the OKC/Norman area, depending on how cold it gets tonight. -
Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
We may finally get below 60F for the first time this fall in about a week. It would be the latest first sub-60F low on record by about 5 days. -
What's the margin of error for these measurements? Is there any significant difference between the 2007, 2016, and 2019 extents or is it a statistical tie?
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Why is 2018 in there twice?
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It looks like with the possible exception of 1980, we just had the smallest Aug 13-29 sea ice extent drop on record.
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Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
Yeah we had a bunch of storms last night, but it was worse just north of me. The OKC airport had its fifth wettest August on record (data since 1948). -
Plains States Observations and Discussion Thread
lookingnorth replied to lookingnorth's topic in Central/Western States
We got some nice thunderstorms here in Norman last night. It was the most significant rain we got since I returned here in late June. I really liked the cool weather this morning. Also, am I the only person from Oklahoma and states north on this forum? I feel like there's almost no one from my area for whatever reason. -
Bluewave hasn't updated for today, so I'll mention that it looks like 2019 is having a bit of trouble falling below 5 million on the extent value. NSIDC extent Date.....2012......2019........2019 difference 8-4.......5.990.... .5.762.....+228k lead 8-5.......5.768......5.596.....+172k lead 8-6.......5.632......5.510......+122k lead 8-7.......5.467......5.388......+79k lead 8-8.......5.256.....5.390......-134k behind 8-9.......5.088......5.259......-171k behind 8-10.....5.118......5.093......+25k ahead 8-11.....5.021......5.113.......-92k behind 8-12.....4.938......5.063.......-125k behind 8-13.....4.889 8-14.....4.724 8-15.....4.679 8-16.....4.619 8-17.....4.545 8-18.....4.520 8-19.....4.405 8-20.....4.313
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When I go to the NSIDC website I get different numbers that are higher for both years so I'm confused. I'm using the Charctic tool to view the data.
