BoulderWX
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Everything posted by BoulderWX
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HRRR looking reasonable IMO
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I ride with you on the 4-6 if I remember correctly your location. I would be very happy with that.
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2-4” area wide at 10:1
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Maybe we hold off on awarding or deriding any model until *after* the storm… unless you already know the outcome, just be patient and we can dissect which models performed best postmortem.
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You’re 100% correct re model noise. I’m still on the 4-6” train so we’re pretty close in our thoughts. Looking forward to it, especially with it coming mostly during the day.
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Yes please! Believe it when i see it though
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Admittedly I didn’t realize this was going to be such a big storm for New England. Latest hi res models give them a great storm but I’d take my Four inches in morris county and run!
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Funny that everyone was discounting RGEM and CMC…
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I don’t see that… in fact snowline looks on par or maybe a couple miles N/W. Either way, it holds with its depiction
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Maybe the one solution that would make everyone happy
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Still not good for the coast and the city but a better run than 18z I suppose
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Yup.. seeing a lot of chatter on the twitter that it’s looking like it will be more amped. As much as CMC/RGEM, who knows. But nobody should be completely discounting the Canadian models
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I wanted to say this like three times and kept deleting it… you know exactly what changed
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He can be cryptic but knows his stuff.
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One more:
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One of the better follows so worth noting some real time analysis - all options very much on the table.
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What are we looking at timing wise for the onset of the precipitation?
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Yes sir, granted I’m always a little nervous. Agree, I’d rather have a stronger coastal with more precipitation and worry about precip type, but still not seeing support for the 6-10 from NWS unless we get that perfect track
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I’m nervous where I am 30 miles west of NYC. If I was in the city or along the coast I’d be keeping my expectations in check. Could be a solid storm but just as much argues the opposite
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Morristown - I thinking I’m in a decent spot but not seeing anything that would cause them to go with a 6-10 over a 3-6 or 4-8. We shall see
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Hahaha 6-10” WSW for me.. I want what the NWS is smoking this fine Friday afternoon.
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Expecting 2-4 here in Morris County and thinking 1-3 for NYC as it will take a little longer for accumulation to start.
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10 miles E/W is the difference between 0” and 7+ here in Morris County.
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ICON takes a step back from its 18z run with a further east solution but I’d happily take the 2-3” it’s advertising
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RGEM would be a heartbreaker. Only few NW suburbs get into the snows while almost all of PA sees over 7” with many at 10-15”. It’s as possible as any other solution
