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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. BoulderWX
    Hahah that’s what I was saying yesterday. Everyone was trying to calculate ratios and pin point certain things that just can’t be done at this time. Loved last nights runs, we still have some wiggle room in all directions to achieve a big storm - here’s hoping.
  2. BoulderWX
    Great runs overall. Trying to keep expectations low since we’ve already seen some big changes over the last couple of days. Some really nice signs last night but proceeding with caution
  3. BoulderWX
    Feel free to apply whatever ratio you think - I’m not debating anyone - just going with what has worked well for me over the last 20 years. many posters have given detailed explanations about several other factors that go into ratios, temperature is only one component.
  4. BoulderWX
    100% agree - not even worth worrying about. I’m just looking at QPF - easier for forecasting and consistency.
  5. BoulderWX
    .75 with favorable ratios would be great. I’m not buying the kuchera maps showing over 20:1 ratios but to each their own!
  6. BoulderWX
    Can you post the non kuchera version. Or just QPF?
  7. BoulderWX
    Waiting until then as well - if models stay consistent I’m definitely heading down south!
  8. BoulderWX
    correct, thus me saying big improvement?
  9. BoulderWX
    Big improvement from 12z but does skirt east before the benchmark; nice run though
  10. BoulderWX
    IF GFS is right, I'm going to see my family in NC - would be a once in a lifetime snowstorm for them verbatim
  11. BoulderWX
    I think you mean 18z an 6z (18z up next) and there’s much debate on how accurate that is. But your point about overreactions is valid lol
  12. BoulderWX
    You asked a question. Many people replied with detailed answers. At this point just go with what you think best. No need to debate it. Most of us agree it’s best to wait to figure details like snow ratio out. If you don’t want to, then just multiply what you think ratios will be X Qpf output and have a field day with it
  13. BoulderWX
    I think it's a great run and I agree ratios will be higher than 10:1 but as someone else mentioned earlier, there's more than just temps needed to ensure high ratios. I highly caution people not to ever assume more than 12:1.
  14. BoulderWX
    The thing im most excited about in terms of potential is the duration. I expect a lot of changes between now and Sunday, but if we could have it snow for even half of that time, I'd be happy - don't even care how much we get if we have snow falling for that long
  15. BoulderWX
    CMC unloading a major ice storm across NC and parts of the south - lets see if she makes the turn up the coast. edit: she definitely looks to make the turn - moderate snow into the area at 120; skirting east at 126 - mod snow still in the area
  16. BoulderWX
    even if we don't cash in this time, this has the potential to be a historic storm for the south -- latest depiction from GFS shows a foot plus in parts of AL, GA, SC, and NC - would be truly epic for them down there - I have family in NC and they're all going nuts asking me about this. CMC up next!
  17. BoulderWX
    Ha was just talking about the distinction between when I said “significant” and he said “major”. That’s all. Obviously we’re all on here to track and discuss possibilities.
  18. BoulderWX
    Not trying to get into semantics 5 days out. There’s a chance of a storm - with all options from ‘nothing’ to ‘major’ on the table.
  19. BoulderWX
    Why is anyone talking about accumulation right now when we know that doesn’t get settled until real time. as of now it looks like another chance for some snow this weekend; and if all goes right, a significant storm. enjoy the tracking.
  20. BoulderWX
    I can’t even think about getting excited for this until Wednesday or Thursday. The depictions we’re seeing is what happens when everything goes right, digitally speaking. The odds of things happening that way are small, but there’s always a chance I suppose.
  21. BoulderWX
    A lack of any conviction lol
  22. BoulderWX
    Nostalgia - we did the English muffin pizzas! Just got in from sledding with my son. That’s what it’s all about.
  23. BoulderWX
    Hahah stop with your bust talk. We over performed yesterday and we’ll be just fine today. It’s ok to just take your L’s and move on. Great full weekend of snow!
  24. BoulderWX
    That’s what I’m hoping for!
  25. BoulderWX
    Just enjoy whatever falls as this point. We’ve had snow falling for most of the last two days and people will see a total not anywhere between 3-6” for the two days. Great couple of events.
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