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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. BoulderWX
    yup, Im at MMU and I'm thinking 6-10 is a good call right now
  2. BoulderWX
    Warm nose apparent on the ICON at 06z - ugly depiction and a big step back from OOZ
  3. BoulderWX
    Because it’s all snow for CPK LOL - I laughed so hard at the response.
  4. BoulderWX
    Yeah, this is a frozen event but sleet could do a huge number on reducing accumulations. Still it’s much better than freezing rain which would be horrific.
  5. BoulderWX
    Please stop - you’re entering the opposite of Kris4life territory.
  6. BoulderWX
    Fold to what? there is no firm consensus. 6-12 for most of the region seems like a good call right now.
  7. BoulderWX
    if nothing else GFS and ICON show the very wide envelope of solutions we have. No longer the consensus we had at 00z last night. Fun times tracking ahead!
  8. BoulderWX
    I think this would be on the extreme end of guidance but mixing to some degree looks likely along the coast and potentially further inland. Lots of time for further adjustments either way.
  9. BoulderWX
    ICON jackpots New England - what a shift verbatim.
  10. BoulderWX
    ICON showing a lot more ice this run - something to watch for sure.
  11. BoulderWX
    Anyone able to post QPF
  12. BoulderWX
    TWC now has NYC on the northern edge of their 12-18 band FWIW.
  13. BoulderWX
    an option thats on the table, but I'll take the risk for more QPF; would still be 6-10" before mixing for most of the area.
  14. BoulderWX
    GFS is a long duration dream
  15. BoulderWX
    I've tried... people like the pretty maps!
  16. BoulderWX
    7-10" isnt anything to sneeze at - I think they'd be thrilled, I would be
  17. BoulderWX
    Oh I agree. I’m totally fine with a little Mix. Give me the increased QPF and I’ll gamble with the mix line
  18. BoulderWX
    Hahah that’s what I was saying yesterday. Everyone was trying to calculate ratios and pin point certain things that just can’t be done at this time. Loved last nights runs, we still have some wiggle room in all directions to achieve a big storm - here’s hoping.
  19. BoulderWX
    Great runs overall. Trying to keep expectations low since we’ve already seen some big changes over the last couple of days. Some really nice signs last night but proceeding with caution
  20. BoulderWX
    Feel free to apply whatever ratio you think - I’m not debating anyone - just going with what has worked well for me over the last 20 years. many posters have given detailed explanations about several other factors that go into ratios, temperature is only one component.
  21. BoulderWX
    100% agree - not even worth worrying about. I’m just looking at QPF - easier for forecasting and consistency.
  22. BoulderWX
    .75 with favorable ratios would be great. I’m not buying the kuchera maps showing over 20:1 ratios but to each their own!
  23. BoulderWX
    Can you post the non kuchera version. Or just QPF?
  24. BoulderWX
    Waiting until then as well - if models stay consistent I’m definitely heading down south!
  25. BoulderWX
    correct, thus me saying big improvement?
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