BoulderWX
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Everything posted by BoulderWX
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Oh I didn’t know. He’s excellent IMO
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I won’t be happy until there is a doorman or super typhoon sighting. Real ones know.
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Waiting in GFS and then calling it a night. Haven’t stayed up for model runs in years but would love to see GFS stay the course or close to
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I mean try to stop occasionally so the baby can sleep. anyway really happy for you - you’re in a great spot for this one.
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Ok I give up. Let’s f go
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Thanks for waiting until runs finish to post totals. Otherwise people start getting confused. Also could you imagine 40” in deleware lol. Imagine that cleanup
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We’re either about have a HECS or one of the worst model failures by the American suite in a long time.
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If only the storm was this output. This is about as beautiful as it gets.
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I’m really trying hard not to let myself get excited because I’m worried about the cut off but it’s getting hard not to.
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I think shades of NEMO and BDB haunt me. I was on the wrong side of both by 20-35 miles
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I don’t expect 00z to be as good as 18z since that was a near perfect depiction, I’m just looking for it to have a similar idea. This far out with the NAM it’s all we can ask for.
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You think neighbor? I’m thinking 5-8” at the moment for MMU; significantly increasing as you head east. Think someone on the island sees 20+
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I go away and come back to NAM and GFS getting 20” this far west. What is going on.
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This gave me PTSD
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4mb stronger through 57 with the low right off the delmarva
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I had 7" vs 20+ 20 miles east... this storm reminds me of that one but not as powerful,
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that one killed me... missed out by like 25 miles. this could be similar lol
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thanks for the correction! still like the areas I outlined for the highest totals but really appreciate the correction!
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hit the one in the middle... I think the eastern part of this forum to include NYC, LI, much of central and southern jersey will be happy with this one as the heaviest bands contract towards the low.
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yeah, im fine with a couple inches or miss - Im just starting to see green spots on the lawn. If it happens, hopefully theres a warm up afterwards, dont want snow sitting for a month again.
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I think much of S.NJ, the coast, and from about NYC to the east see a major storm but I think it will have a very sharp cutoff on the NW side -- this is one where. city and island could see double digits where areas just to the west see a 2-5 type event. Will be interesting to see if trends continue NW or if we start to see some settling of the models with better sampling present.
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I think we also need to put in perspective that its not JUST the EURO. EURO has never favored a storm, but ensembles and ops even of the most bullish models have wavered quite a bit in the last 48 hours. I like a S NJ for this and going with a coastal grazer for now
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Please stop dude. We all are begging you to post less. It’s one run and there’s been zero consistency.
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I still think a costal grazer is on the table but the fluctuating ensemble support, lack of EURO being on board, EC AIFS trending east makes it hard to put any faith in a major storm forum wide - not probable, but obviously not impossible. We're just starting to get some decent melting this week, so I'd be ok with a miss.
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A little over an inch in Morristown and another wintry day. Solid winter but excited for the ice/snow pack to melt this week.
