BoulderWX
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Really hoping this is the case because as of yesterday it looked like a worst case scenario for both areas. Way too early to tell but if they can remain on the west side, that would be a saving grace. Regardless, I think it’s way more than a nuisance either way, but will be *less* devastating if the can remain on the western side.
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Glad to see this didn’t explode overnight but seems like it’s getting its act together this AM. prayers and best wishes for all in its path. Will be a fascinating day of tracking.
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Can this be close to accurate?! A few local spots of 10” of rainfall based on radar estimates. I know these can be off, but they weee very accurate for the coastal areas of North Carolina with the TS a couple weeks ago.
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Praying we continue to see these drops in anticipated max winds and RI, but sadly a storm of this size coming in at this trajectory is going to cause major problems whether it’s a 2/3 or 4.
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Honestly, this is on the Mods at this point. It’s one thing to let a few random posts go, but to allow him to continue posting, degrades any sense of meteorological posts. It’s getting embarrassing for the forum at large.
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight—50mph/1006mb
BoulderWX replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight—50mph/1006mb
BoulderWX replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight—50mph/1006mb
BoulderWX replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Agree but rainfall exceeding expectations along the NC coast. Radar estimates already showing 6-11” -
Fair enough, there was also no data point directly before landfall so it was a bit of a gray area but your point is taken. Most of what I have seen is a forecast of cat 1 at landfall which I agree with. Certainly possible it hits cat 2 at some point in its journey but inhibiting factors as it approaches land has always capped upward potential.
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Yeah… I’m wondering the same since I got weenied for essentially posting facts (path shifted east and it’s 65mph currently), and then saying it looks on track to hit as a cat 1 lol. Would love to know what he took issue with.
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Official forecast shifts east and continues to be progged as a Cat 1 at landfall. Everything seems to be on track intensity wise. 65 mph at last update
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Almost all prognostications have kept this a cat 1, around 85mph. I still think it has a good shot of becoming a hurricane which would be in line with the expectation. Could be wrong, but if it reaches hurricane status it’s not a bust. just because some people speculate, doesn’t mean that’s what the official forecast was. And we all know model guidance varies widely with every storm. Most topped it out as a cat 2 and I didn’t see one official forecast going to cat 2. Highest was 100, which may end up too high, but again, not by much.
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Eyewall looks to be forming with some lightning strikes around the center. May not matter downstream but seems to be ahead of schedule.
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Circulation becoming more evident on Brownsville Radar. I think she tops out around 90mph before weakening before landfall due to some pretty strong shear
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Watching a great lightning storm on my porch with my son who just said “I love weather”. That’s what it’s all about.
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I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. as for right now, storms passing just south of me in morris county but hear the thunder and see the lightning
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3.45” in southern morris county since 545
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