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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. A a very rare *run* where all would be happy
  2. love the 3.3 right over my backyard but highly skeptical - believe this is a Trace - 2" for most of the forum. I'll happily take it to add to the holiday festivities.
  3. 4" OTG in Morristown; Heaviest rates of the storm currently; look to have another hour of moderate snow before winding down.
  4. was expecting the same based on radar returns the last 30 minutes, but still nothing...
  5. 20 DBZ returns overhead hopefully will saturate the atmosphere; just virga currently
  6. was just going to say; based on those returns I could see this starting earlier than modeled which was supposed to be 9/10 for my area
  7. I'm with you neighbor; I'm going with 2" for me in Morristown, enough to make things festive hopefully
  8. RAP (i know) on the northern end of the guidance; all in all things like good for a region wide 2-4" (up to 6 locally). good luck all
  9. I'm riding the northern edge in Morristown so could see 1 or 4 inches just as easily depending how far north this goes; hoping for at least 2" to cover everything up - im not greedy
  10. Its another 2-4" depiction; people shouldn't fret over each run of each model; this is a 1-3 or 2-4 event for most - just sit back and enjoy a little holiday snow
  11. nor do I -- just sharing what it showed. I do think 1-3" is on the table for many
  12. Ignore; well known troll who is post limited. NAM is 3-5 region wide FWIW
  13. NAM would be 9-12 hours of light to moderate snow verbatim... I'd take that and run
  14. Why are we talking about storms that disappeared and then came back. Obviously we know that can happen. Every storm is unique. Just as we can see things turn more positive in upcoming runs, it’s equally likely that things stay the same or trend worse. No amount of talking about past storms changed that.
  15. This a possibility with the stronger confluence. Suppression has always been on the table.
  16. It didn’t go great from 114 but it’s within. The envelope of solutions.
  17. Better LP pressure at 108 just not reflected on the precip shield. Track more important so let’s see where it goes from here
  18. *for entertainment purposes for those around MMU* Saturday - 12Z Suite @ *10:1 ratios* - MMU - net gain or loss from 00z Friday runs - CMC: 5” (- 7.9”) - GFS: 5” (+ 5”) - EURO: 4” (-13”) - ICON: 18.3” (+ 18.1”) - UKIE: 18” (+ 11.6”) Blend Of Models = 10” Based on this suite alone, two clear and tightly clustered camps around 5 and 18 lol
  19. Temporarily but even with that and it being furthest west of the guidance, the entire forum sees over a foot @10:1 - that was a beautiful run, and being inland I’m biased towards it but I always shoot towards the middle and don’t think it will be that far west. This is fun!
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