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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. BoulderWX
    48 looks very nice
  2. BoulderWX
    Agree. Like it so far. Reno or profiles TBD but as you said it looks juicy so far
  3. BoulderWX
    Again keep in mind ratios. Even with this nice depiction, cut in half
  4. BoulderWX
    Crap shoot for both of us. Obviously further north and west in the county you go can make a huge difference if you look at those sharp cutoffs. Any elevation will be key as well. Used to being in the battleground of r/s line most of my life. Some have been great booms but equally as many busts. Good luck neighbor.
  5. BoulderWX
    Poconos too. Elevation reigns supreme per usual in borderline situations.
  6. BoulderWX
    Morristown area. Last the green as if you’re heading to mendham and Chester if you’re familiar with the area
  7. BoulderWX
    Fair question. Don’t like the trends. Thinking it trends even lower. I don’t care if snow gets washed away the next day but could do without a gross slushy mix. Part of me thought we could see a 3-6, or 6-8 event by me but think the odds are becoming slim to none of that happening
  8. BoulderWX
    Quickly losing interest in this one but something to track at least. Expecting a sloppy 2-4” here in morris county
  9. BoulderWX
    Lots is a wet mix or rain. Can’t rely on QPF maps in such a marginal situation.
  10. BoulderWX
    Still going in Mass and NE of there
  11. BoulderWX
    Nothing like 12z but SNE makes out well. Just another solution.
  12. BoulderWX
    Looking relatively weak at 57, let see if we get an injection from the second row in later frames
  13. BoulderWX
    51 - low in proximity/heading towards OBX. Let’s see what next few frames bring
  14. BoulderWX
    Gfs Pregame @ 45
  15. BoulderWX
    Yup. Poconos and Catskills and Hudson Valley should see a nice 4-8 from this with areas up to 10-12” isolated. Just need to figure out what location to go to.
  16. BoulderWX
    No worries. It was another poster who seemed to dislike a post I made that was directly from the NWS. no biggie.
  17. BoulderWX
    Similar axis as all models but brutal cut off
  18. BoulderWX
    Also this FWIW…. Subject to change of course as new guidance rolls in..
  19. BoulderWX
    Weird flex but I don’t take it personally. They’re is a reason they have their degrees and were casual observers (most of us). But posting colorful maps gets more interest despite being wildly misleading. Everyone’s entitled to their own opinions, just not facts *shrug*
  20. BoulderWX
    Huh?
  21. BoulderWX
    This is hilarious and never will happen with marginal temps and all that but even half of this at 5:1 would be amazing for most. I think NWS is playing it smart with the WSW for morris county of 4-8: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NJZ008&warncounty=NJC027&firewxzone=NJZ008&local_place1=Morristown NJ&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=40.7979&lon=-74.4782
  22. BoulderWX
    Completely agree. People posting 10:1 verbatim when many locales will be half of that. And compacting. Just not realistic. I’d cut 10:1 in half if you’re within 50 miles of the coast. 8:1 seems reasonable well north and west IMO
  23. BoulderWX
    I’m in Morristown and right in the line. Either way ratios will be very low but would be nice to see flakes fly.
  24. BoulderWX
    This is hilarious and without any support. Also be careful with 10:1 as many have stated before, looking closer to 5/6:1 along coast and other marginal areas.
  25. BoulderWX
    Said this yesterday and one poster thought I was just being pessimistic. Have a place booked in the poconos but now thinking Catskills might be a better bet.
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