BoulderWX
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Everything posted by BoulderWX
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Disaster of a run, but can’t put too much stock in the good or the bad right now. I didn’t expect to get 30” next week like 18z showed and I don’t expect to get an inch either. Somewhere in the middle lays the truth. Will check in at 12z tomorrow
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It’s possible. We’re seeing both extremes play out over the last two runs which is telling in and of itself. We have the envelope.
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Hahahaha I read this as “tub time with my better half” and was wondering what the hell you were doing on here if that was an option lol tube time is also nice haha
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It would even get Central Park to 10” for the year… …sorry, bad joke.
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GFS with 7-10+ for almost everyone in the subforum. Verbatim it would be one that makes everyone happy
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2-3” on the GFS before the changeover. Best snow continues to be over SNE for this one.
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Seems reasonable - nice storm for SNE.
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I think everyone is/was aware it could trend either direction but no doubt the 12Z suite is not what most want to see. I’ve felt SNE would be the spot to be on this one, but still think my call of 1-4” will pan out for much of the subforum aside from southern NJ
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You’re ahead of me, my bad! Showing that 3-6 *potential* I referenced in my initial call. Let’s see how the rest of the guidance comes in today. Feel like this depiction would be the best case scenario for this system
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I honestly am torn on the Saturday night event. I like the trends but it’s clearly a borderline situation. If I had to start with a prediction, I’d lean to a 1-4” as a starting point for the subforum with the highest amounts to the north and places with elevation. this is shaping up to be a very nice storm for SNE and it wouldnt take much to for most of the subforum to see a 3-6” event but for now, I’ll remain conservative until I see tonight’s 0Z suite.
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What’s QPF looking like for this on AIFS?
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Same here neighbor… just took the dog out and may or may not have fallen on my ass. Much worse around here than I expected, but makes sense with the ice being the more dominant precip type.
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Snow pushing back in so will most likely hit an inch of snow and about .10 of ice, which is exactly what my winter weather advisory called for (1-2” and up to .10 of ice). Solid call by NWS for my location
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Cool cool. Then probably no reason for you to follow along since you already know the outcome of the next month. We’ll see you in ten years when the pattern is better!
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Of course he is, he joined a month ago and hasnt said anything of substance in that time.
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While most will probably be on the lower end of the 1-2” range that was forecast, I’m seeing a lot more reports of ice which makes this a more impactful event as evidenced by school closings throughout the tri-state area. Hard to call something an under-performer with a 1-2” forecast, but some people are miserable so I’m sure we’ll see a few of those complaints.
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Light snow/sleet mix in Morristown. Echols are closed for the ice.
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RAP and HRRR cutting amounts back down to a general 1-2” which has been the best call for the last several days.
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Huge hit for SNE - devil always in the details but the idea is there
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Not sure where you are but looks to start between 3-5am depending your location
