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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. Not very accurate in the long term - somewhat better within 10 hours and it’s Kuchera. I’d look at 10:1 QPF
  2. And could very well be close to the solution. I’m Much less confident in a 4+ storm than I was last yesterday at this time but 3-5 would be excellent still
  3. Rare storm where we’ll be lower than NYC - agreed. Just want enough to be able to go sledding with my son.
  4. Not sure where you are but that’s reasonable, I’m on the 3-6 train for most, LHV will do best. Would be a ton of fun for the day after Christmas if we can get 3-6
  5. I’m more worried about QPF more than the temperature profile for my area. It’s a very thin band of heavier precip on almost all models - and rates will play a factor with marginal temps. 3-6” is my final call for MBY and much of the NYC metro.
  6. That’s a huge 6-10” area - quite bullish, im surprised given his forecasting style. merry Christmas, all!
  7. Looks great to me. But it can stop there lol
  8. A couple of inches less but would still be a fantastic post Christmas storm verbatim.
  9. Don’t love being in the “proverbial” bullseye but feel good for at least 4-5”+; Merry Christmas Eve all.
  10. merry Christmas to you! This is a million times better than usual. Things can’t be perfect
  11. For once it’s actually pretty level. No crazy bittercasting, arguing or over hyping. Most people understand we have a nice 3-6 or maybe 4-8 type storm
  12. Thinking 3-6” is a good bet for most of the NYC metro. Really surprised with the model agreement event with the general placement on the heaviest axis
  13. Still looks good but that’s a pretty thin swath of 3-6” or maybe it’s the unique orientation that’s throwing me off
  14. Wow…I would take any of the outputs from overnight and this morning. This feels too good to be true. merry Christmas Eve to all celebrating!
  15. Too good to be true - but liking where we’re sitting right now
  16. Feeling good about a 2-4”+ event; would round out December nicely after picking up 2-3” this am
  17. a little over an inch so far on all surfaces - looks beautiful out with big flakes falling.
  18. Would take the 5" the euro is showing for Morristown and run...
  19. Even those areas see a 3-5 event with the exception of far eastern LI
  20. A a very rare *run* where all would be happy
  21. love the 3.3 right over my backyard but highly skeptical - believe this is a Trace - 2" for most of the forum. I'll happily take it to add to the holiday festivities.
  22. 4" OTG in Morristown; Heaviest rates of the storm currently; look to have another hour of moderate snow before winding down.
  23. was expecting the same based on radar returns the last 30 minutes, but still nothing...
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