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KEITH L.I

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Everything posted by KEITH L.I

  1. Reminds me of Bob, except Bob was stronger. Eye went over Block Island. We got tropical storm winds and heavy rains in Western Suffolk, actually lost power for 12 hours
  2. Elizabethtown..beautiful area! Wish I was back on the Island this weekend for the hurricane..Anyway be safe Long Islanders
  3. Has there ever been a hurricane who heads directly west in our lattitude?..I know Sandy did that but that wasn't pure tropical.
  4. That would be the hottest heatwave ever for NYC...that's not happening or at least I hope it doesn't lol
  5. Try 103 degrees with a dewpiont of 80..July 15th 1995..the hottest day I ever experienced
  6. Amazing since 2014 we have had 3 Christmas with temps over 60.I don't know if it's bad luck or global warming or both.
  7. 7 days out..I'd be surprised if that was the correct solution.Man you love to show warm maps lol I don't think I ever seen you post a cold model run
  8. GFS has backend for PA on Christmas eve 2-4 inches as there is a wave on the front
  9. Don't some models show back end snow's on Christmas morning? 6z GFS shows this.Really it doesn't look like a typical cutter.Looks like a frontal passage with hard freeze after the passage and some snow
  10. Euro has MJO going into 8 and 1 around Christmas,,In the COD but still a big change.GFS has it in 6 and 7
  11. 5 inches in Elizabethtown with pingers now.Hope we get back to snow later
  12. There have been La Nina patterns that do produce snow here, however you need NAO to go negative..If that's not happening your out of luck
  13. Because long range forecasting is so inaccurate. Follow models up to 7 days and stay off social media, you might keep your sanity .Or move to a snowy climate ..It would be nice to have snow for the holidays ,but that never happens, so that's life and global warming .Plus you have no control at all.
  14. the greatest 3 year snow droughts in my life 1989-1992 1997-2000 2018-2021?..I really believe we will see over 20 inches this year to avoid putting this in the top 3
  15. When winter was winter.One of the biggest arctic outbreaks of the 20th century
  16. Question about MJO.I know some of us on the board claim it's the determining factor in determining weather in the east.Then why was it in phase8,9 and 1 in November and we got record breaking heat?Also some of our biggest snowstorms here have been unfavorable phases.Is just one factor or just part of the equation?
  17. 69 and 76 it snowed Christmas night.Can we get a star for that? lol
  18. I've seen worse for early December, but that looks like an el nino map instead of La Nina..it should be totally reversed..cold Canada,trough in the west,ridge in the east if it was La Nina
  19. Remember that..and two days later we had snow showers Christmas eve
  20. At least there's a trough in the east and ridge in the west lol..GFS long range looks stormy in the east,probably rainstorms but at least it's not 60 and sunny in early December
  21. Out past 3 weeks is not that accurate on the weeklies since I've been following them
  22. SE ridge has helped us with snowstorms in the last decade. In the 60's 70's and 80's we had quite a few fish storms.So a SE ridge can be helpful at times
  23. 40 days till winter actually begins.Much can change.Rather have a crap pattern now then late December
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