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KEITH L.I

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Everything posted by KEITH L.I

  1. Average high is 63..so normal gets you into the low 60's. 10 degrees above normal gets you into the low 70's..10 degrees below low 50's..It's October
  2. I think the cooldown next weekend will be significant.High won't get out of the 50's which is slightly cooler than normal.Again folks it's the Fall. Winter doesn't arrive for over 2 months. Enjoy this nice weather
  3. It's usually not always..66-67,95-96 and 10-11 featured a trough in the east and were historic snowy winters for the Northeast..They were La Nina's
  4. Cold phase years have had some great winters...66-67,95-96, 10-11 and some horrible ones..It's all about blocking. The one thing that is certain..strong el nino's are most part very warm, but that doesn't mean you can't get a big snowfall..Feb 83 and Jan 16. It's all timing. Also looking at the monthly's and seasonal forecasts take them with a grain of salt
  5. October 19th..63 years old..Happy Birthday!
  6. Looks like last year. Seasonals are not very accuarate.I mean it could turn out that way but predicting weather a month or 2 or 3 months in advace is basically a toss up. I remember saying this around this time last year when we were all on suicide watch because of the monthly's.
  7. Again and I say this before every La Nina winter,if there is blocking in the Atlantic it could be a decent winter. If there is no blocking expect a warm winter.Last year there was blocking, the pacific was horrible but we were above average snow.. La NIna winters are also front loaded so a cold December is usually the case
  8. 76-77 had straight cold from October through February, however February moderated and March was warm
  9. Very La NIna October, at least for the first part with the SE Ridge. Euro monthly's had a warm September and October followed by cooling in November and a cold December. Hope that pans out
  10. Your on the wrong side of the cold front
  11. Front passed in Central PA..62 degrees and sun..Yes it is Fall!!.Have to wear a jacket..beautiful!
  12. When to the lanternflies go away?..Hopefully the first frost. Hate those bugs!
  13. Warmer than normal temps in October are 70's and some low 80's. A way above normal day you might approach 90, however they are rare
  14. This page will take us from the last days of heat. To the crisp days and nights of fall. Football season, World Series, Halloween and into the holiday season, and the first snowfall for some. Favorite time of year
  15. Flash flood warning alert just came over my cell
  16. Looks like we are finished with the heatwaves. Not saying it could not hit 90..although most models don't show any through the middle of the month..But typical September weather takes over with 70's and the warmest low 80's
  17. How much rain did this area have with Agnes in 1972?..I know the Susquehanna had major problems with flooding
  18. Combined with high dews it's been a sizzler..Was waiting for my Long Island seabreeze lol..not in these parts. Also seems like this area has higher humidity and more pop up thunderstorms..Love the area anyway
  19. 8+ September?..wow..most of the days would be in the 80's or 90's with lows near 70..Never happen..Usually warm Septembers are +2 to 3 range..Every September features cool downs when lows dip into the 50's..sometime 40's
  20. Personally I think we suffer with the heat and humidity this week..Get a bit of a break over the weekend and go back to near 90 early next week..Looks like afterwards the back of summer is broken as we kick off September. It will still be warm somedays but I think this is our last prolonged heatwave for 2021
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