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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. KPITSnow
    Oh go away. I'm not even complaining, I'm just pointing out what I am seeing.
  2. KPITSnow
    I mean, we do but it is fairly quiet compared to this one and we are kind of stuck in geographical no man's land. I'm not trying to be a PIA, but just pointing out the issues with this system.
  3. KPITSnow
    In any case, we will see how it plays out. You guys are in a much better position than those of us in WPA.
  4. KPITSnow
    In any case, we will see what happens. I just think a lot of folks are seeing these ten inch totals but then discounting the impact that it is spread over such a long period. Hours of .25 inches per hour rates are going to have a hard time adding up when it is 30 degrees.
  5. KPITSnow
    I certainly get that, but 10 inches over 36 hours is a lot different than 10 inches over a 12-18 hour period like most storms we get. That is my point....that the final totals look ok but you are going to have issues with accumulations if you have such low rates for a long duration of the storm.
  6. KPITSnow
    But isn't that supposed to deteriorate a bit as the primary transfers to the coastal? Hopefully we get some good banding this afternoon but this is a very touch and go situation as far as decent totals.
  7. KPITSnow
    The NAM so far has really nailed this. If you look at it from last night you could see it depicting a lot of dry air intruding.
  8. KPITSnow
    I would say look at what is going on right now and the radar. I know the coastal could really impact you guys later, but the NAM pretty accurately showed what is going on right now.
  9. KPITSnow
    Yep, seeing that out our way. We have a few decent bands but it is mainly a disorganized mess.
  10. KPITSnow
    I know i will be called a debbie downer, but there have been a lot of signals for this to have huge bust potential. I think a lot of people are underestimating that 1 inch of QPF spread out over 36 hours when temps are at least somewhat marginal could lead to huge bust issues.
  11. KPITSnow
    Western PA is pretty crappy right now. The radar is an absolute mess.
  12. KPITSnow
    I hope, but the models had been hinting at this especially the NAM. Like I said sure it showed .6 or .7 QPF but over 36 hours or so, and that really isn’t going to accumulate very well.
  13. KPITSnow
    Do you have it for western pa? I think we are in big trouble out here.
  14. KPITSnow
    Waking up and the radar looks pretty crappy.
  15. KPITSnow
    I’m still ok with that call
  16. KPITSnow
    See I think the problem is that with marginal temps it might be hard for it to accumulate if it is snowing at a quarter inch an hour for 36 hours.
  17. KPITSnow
    Again, very important to note here that this literally does fall over almost two days.
  18. KPITSnow
    Yeah, maybe. I would love for MAG to chime in on that as even to my untrained eyes it looks weird as all hell.
  19. KPITSnow
    Look, I don't want to start a flame war, but yes it is still snowing, but those are extremely light rates. QPF isn't terrible on the NAM, but it is spread over a VERY long time
  20. KPITSnow
    YEah, it is a very weird looking progression.
  21. KPITSnow
    Appreciate the positivity and play by play, but this NAM run is pretty ugly. There might be decent QPF but it is over like 36 hours, and without having very low temps its going to really drive down accumulations.
  22. KPITSnow
    Ok, I'll be the first to say it. The NAM looks like an absolute disorganized mess.
  23. KPITSnow
    Figures that the 0z NAM is literally the first model I have looked at this storm and it is an absolute mess. We get a decent amount of QPF, like .5 inch or a bit more but it is over like 36 hours of light snow.
  24. KPITSnow
    Man, I didn't realize how long duration this is going to be...the NAM is a disorganized mess but it looks like it is going to snow for like 2 days straight.
  25. KPITSnow
    SO Kpit is still showing 3-5, and I am extremely confused by what they are seeing. YEah, it might be a long duration event but I think 6-10 out here is much more realistic than their call,
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