I know i will be called a debbie downer, but there have been a lot of signals for this to have huge bust potential. I think a lot of people are underestimating that 1 inch of QPF spread out over 36 hours when temps are at least somewhat marginal could lead to huge bust issues.
I hope, but the models had been hinting at this especially the NAM. Like I said sure it showed .6 or .7 QPF but over 36 hours or so, and that really isn’t going to accumulate very well.
Look, I don't want to start a flame war, but yes it is still snowing, but those are extremely light rates.
QPF isn't terrible on the NAM, but it is spread over a VERY long time
Appreciate the positivity and play by play, but this NAM run is pretty ugly.
There might be decent QPF but it is over like 36 hours, and without having very low temps its going to really drive down accumulations.
Figures that the 0z NAM is literally the first model I have looked at this storm and it is an absolute mess. We get a decent amount of QPF, like .5 inch or a bit more but it is over like 36 hours of light snow.
Man, I didn't realize how long duration this is going to be...the NAM is a disorganized mess but it looks like it is going to snow for like 2 days straight.
SO Kpit is still showing 3-5, and I am extremely confused by what they are seeing. YEah, it might be a long duration event but I think 6-10 out here is much more realistic than their call,
Honestly happens way too often. Don’t really want to go down this route again but when I read our discussions compared to neighboring offices I’m pretty amazed at the difference in detail.
Nah, give me what we had in December as opposed to a bunch or 1 inch events. I'd like another couple events but I am fairly satisfied already for the year.