WxWatcher007

I know most discussion has been OK and KS but three Tor warnings up north of Sioux Falls as well along the convective line.

IIRC, ‘98 was the mod risk day? Was 2011 a slight risk? Not as familiar with our severe history but what a monster.

One day we’ll get a high risk here…and folks will be calling bust by 10am as usual.

It’s big time. Everything does seem lined up for a big season. The only caveat I’ll add is that we probably need to see decent early season activity in NS and maybe H to be in line for a highest end season. This is probably a long season through October/early November though.

We’re moving through May now, and the Euro forecast is about as aggressive as you can get for the season. I expect us to be looking meaningfully at pre/early season TC genesis opportunities in a few weeks.

Flood of yore

lol I thought it was a wing

This is incredible to witness on radar.

INCREDIBLE storms in Oklahoma right now. I think the area started the day with no tornado risk.

Actually a nice light show. @weatherwiz just an big time PDS warned TOR tonight. I’ve never seen one U-turn like this… Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Norman OK 1002 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COMANCHE...WEST CENTRAL COTTON AND EAST CENTRAL TILLMAN COUNTIES... At 1002 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 4 miles north of Loveland, moving east at 10 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! Awful resolution but look at the TDS ETA: for the uninitiated—this is absolutely extraordinary

First thunder of the season.

Historically wet winter, spring, and summer?

We’ve seen weaker velocity signals

Real nice pop up down near SW CT.

It takes all that just for BDR to be +.3°. Weird month.

A lot of flash flood warnings up too. Rates approaching 3”/hr in spots.

In your experience, how often does a multi-day setup produce consecutive high end days?

It’s incredibly impressive on radar. Thankfully NW of the municipal center.

Backyard was finally dry enough to get the first mow in. Beautiful day outside.

High risk of excessive rainfall added by the WPC for part of OK.

Just a wild day out there

Another big day possible tomorrow.