WxWatcher007

Heat index of 106 here at home

I think today is pretty active in CT

I think we’re still going to end up AN on the numbers, but slightly so. I think it’s a more classic second half rather than what we saw last year, with activity centering mid September through mid October rather than the season extending into November. It’s a small window, but in that 4-5 week window I think that’s all we’ll need.

Yeah the tropical Atlantic even without big SAL this season is just so stable. Things point to another strongly backloaded season to me.

I think it’ll be quiet in general, but now that the wave train is starting to leave the station I think we do see 1 or 2 systems find a way to survive the trek across the Atlantic and develop into a TC before the 20th.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts across parts of New England and the northern Mid Atlantic on Friday. Isolated severe storms are also possible across parts of the northern and central Plains. ...Northeast into the Northern Mid-Atlantic... A robust midlevel trough will advance eastward across Quebec and parts of New England through the day, while a related belt of 30-40 kt midlevel westerly flow overspreads the Northeast and northern Mid-Atlantic. At the same time, a cold front will move southward across the region through the afternoon. As widely scattered thunderstorms along the front intercept a moist/destabilizing pre-convective air mass (upwards of 2500 J/kg MLCAPE), around 30 kt of effective shear will promote organized clusters, small line segments, and possibly some supercell structures. The enhanced low/midlevel flow, steepening boundary-layer lapse rates, and expected clustering will support scattered wind damage across the region. A Slight risk was added where confidence is highest in the overlap of scattered organized storms, highest buoyancy, and sufficient deep-layer flow/shear.

What I love about this place is despite all of the craziness (and good lord there’s a lot of that lol) we are in large part a community that organically comes together to share our common love of wx. All the blizzards, jaw dropping weather events, and even our love of the perfect sunny day. I'm so sorry for your loss, but as you can see here, he left quite a legacy. May he rest in peace with all the interesting wx he could ever want.

Always appreciated what he brought to this forum. RIP.

Looks like we’re going to be quiet for a while if we don’t get more homebrew off of a frontal boundary.

Low of 54.4° here at home (East Hartford) last night.

Absolute garbage. It has no place here.

Love of wx is conditional for many. Not passing judgement…

Now that’s a beaut. Hope your summer is going well.

Maybe a little inflow down near Lebanon, @weatherwiz? E CT with the goods today.

I think it was last year when I was away when two tornado warned supercells went right over my house in consecutive days. Can’t make it up.

At least I’m not home to experience the miss imby live.

And if not for the foresight of installing those sensors in vulnerable areas, you guys may not have been able to respond as quickly as you did. Infrastructure matters.

I think wall to wall 70 is going to be very hard, even 20 years from now, but there’s no doubt one of the biggest changes in our summers the last 40 years has been the humidity.

Yeah, we'll probably get some action. If not from later tomorrow perhaps tomorrow morning in southern CT.

Beautiful evening out there.

Late high gets mby into heat wave territory

Same thing happened to me last year. Then just like that they were gone.

Hot July and August. Step down in September/October. 80 in early November. Fake start to “winter” after Veteran’s Day. Blowtorch December, cold rain January, furnace February. Winter arrives March 1 and ends March 17. Chilly and muddy late March through first 2/3 of May. Spring from June 1-10. Steadily rising heat and dews thereafter. Rinse and repeat…rinse and repeat…rinse and repeat…

Heat index of 106 in New Haven with a 78 dew.

Still early for us but let’s see what the steering pattern looks like in August. I’m always wary of fronts in September sweeping things OTS.