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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    The next frame for those unnecessarily panicked There’s still a long way to go. Far from locked, but better than we were starting the day.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Look at these changes. This is what you want to see. 00z 06z 12z 18z
  3. WxWatcher007
    Definitely want to see something similar on the 18z EPS. Note how little is held back here Compared to the 12z EPS (which was a modest improvement over 00z)
  4. WxWatcher007
    A couple runs notwithstanding, I have loved this look overall. This can absolutely be a megalopolis/region wide KU. The whole trend for multiple cycles has been positive, surface depictions be damned.
  5. WxWatcher007
    You just need to see that the NS phase is happening. The exact surface depiction is irrelevant. I’d rather keep seeing nuclear detonations near the coast vs 200 miles off Virginia Beach.
  6. WxWatcher007
  7. WxWatcher007
    Radar still looks pretty solid in southern CT.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Yeah it still needs work
  9. WxWatcher007
    @CoastalWx in the images above you want to see a further north and more buckled field, right?
  10. WxWatcher007
    The mean looks much improved to me but I can’t see the members yet. 12z yesterday 00z last night 12z today
  11. WxWatcher007
    Flurries here in East Hartford. At least I got a T out of the DC storm lol
  12. WxWatcher007
    Yep. Won’t get there but I suppose it’s something. Let’s see what the ensembles do.
  13. WxWatcher007
    It makes sense. At this point I think we want to see consistent improvement across guidance. Especially the ensembles and gfs/euro.
  14. WxWatcher007
    00z 06z 12z
  15. WxWatcher007
    Very good move on the GEFS. 00z 06z 12z
  16. WxWatcher007
    Agree, though I still look at ops as another ensemble member at this point.
  17. WxWatcher007
    This. A thousand times this. I still don’t care that much for the details. I just need to see fusion happen to know we’re in business. By 120 you know whether it’s game on or not looking at 500mb.
  18. WxWatcher007
    Seriously, get the energy to fuse at the right time and it’s a nuclear detonation right off the coast. Everyone cashes in.
  19. WxWatcher007
    Fusion happens just in time for a thermonuclear detonation right off the coast. It’s precarious, but beautiful.
  20. WxWatcher007
    Same on weathermodels
  21. WxWatcher007
    I’ll be watching too
  22. WxWatcher007
    Given what we’ve been through the last several years, there’s a part of me that feels the same. But it’s the kind of thing where imo if we can’t produce at least something significant in this setup, we just don’t have it (again) this season.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Zero concern seeing that depiction on 00z, particularly considering that 12z spurred a forum wide panic that we were losing this completely. Just loop the 12z yesterday, 00z last night, 12z this afternoon, and 00z tonight. Plenty of volatility. Nothing settled, nothing lost. @40/70 Benchmark I agree with your earlier assessment that these models are merely stepping their way toward a nuke of a low. The moving pieces cloud just how big the potential really is. If we can’t close here…
  24. WxWatcher007
    One bad run away from a state correctional facility?
  25. WxWatcher007
    Well, I knew this thread wouldn’t disappoint
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