I think the uncertainty is a little greater given the PAC and orientation of the block, but it’s not terribly substantive in my mind yet wrt the likely outcome—which is a broadly favorable wintry pattern post Dec 15.
Could be wrong of course about that. If it’s getting pushed back in time the next few days that’d be a cause of concern for me. Even then, I don’t think I’d worry too much about eventually hitting in December. I do believe we will have greater than climo odds of a big dog the later we go given the block if there’s a relaxation in the Pacific.