WxWatcher007

Wow, that’s pretty bold. I still think despite the quiet period and meh MDR anomalies that tropical season in the Atlantic will be above average.

I believe the warm signal, but I’m in show me mode for anything interesting. Boring begets boring.

No reason yet to believe this’ll be a low ACE season in the Atlantic.

With regard to severe and rainfall, yesterday was a bust IMO. In CT to be specific. You look at those parameters in place, the fact that we cleared out, and actually had some activity develop in a good environment in the evening and you’d figure that at the very least, there would be some widespread strong storms even and more widespread rainfall. Scattered severe warned stuff at best. To get nothing close to a warnable storm is a big bust to me. To see a wide swath of the state get very little rainfall is also a bust to me. I never expected widespread severe, but we never even came close to even an isolated severe storm. It is what it is, but that’s bad in my book.

I’ve been meaning to ask: was it hard getting a camera on the roof? Any issue from the neighbors?

Previous record was set by the remnants of the 1915 Galveston Hurricane.

All time rainfall records getting shattered in St. Louis.

From this evening here. Still waiting on a good chase.

All I got from today.

I just need it to be chaseable.

Tropical season can’t get here soon enough.

It may be a fail but at least it’s a pretty one.

Friend up in Maine said it was an active day.

Here’s hoping we get a few good statewide hits this winter. The last few seasons have strained my relationship with winter.

It’s a tough business searching for interesting wx in New England. The good stuff is few and far in between.

Ribbing of Wiz aside, he’s right. If we can’t get something marginally decent down here we should pack it up.

There it is

You had your wild severe streak. You’re good for another decade. Snow included

Making a run at 90 here at home with this clearing. That’d make Day 7 of the heat wave here. HFD is very close.

Would like to see the line to the NW fill in a bit, but I’d be surprised too if we didn’t get strong storms at least. It’s pretty much going the way it would have needed to…there’s clearing here and not too much crap to the south to rob CT like Thursday, or so I think..

Still think it’s a little early for a spike, but I’m sweating it a bit for forecasting purposes.

Storms also beginning to fire near the NY/MA border.

Congrats Long Island?

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Mon Jul 25 2022 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEW ENGLAND TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong/severe thunderstorm wind gusts are expected across parts of the Mid-Atlantic States and New England this afternoon through early evening. ...New England/Mid-Atlantic States... The region will be influenced by a low-amplitude shortwave trough and speed max today, with moderately strong mid/high-level winds noted in regional 12z observed soundings as far south as roughly the Pennsylvania/Maryland border vicinity. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon along and ahead of a surface cold front including near a pre-frontal trough. Pre-frontal showers and residual cloud cover persist particularly from New Jersey/eastern Pennsylvania into southern New England, but gradual destabilization and an erosion of boundary layer inhibition is occurring especially across southern New England late this morning and midday. Even with lingering residual cloud cover, the corridor of strongest destabilization this afternoon should largely parallel the I-95 general vicinity from Virginia into southern New England, where MLCAPE may reach/exceed 2000-2500 J/kg. Effective shear magnitudes will generally range from a supercell-supportive 40-50 kt over New England to around 25-30 kt southwestward into Virginia/eastern West Virginia, where a deeply mixed boundary layer will nonetheless support pulse/multicell-related wind gust potential. Severe/locally damaging wind gusts will be the most common severe risk (almost exclusively) overall, but a tornado cannot be ruled particularly across southern New England where deep-layer shear and low-level shear/SRH will be stronger.