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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Yeah recon shows no evidence of weakening. Probably the opposite at this hour. I mean, expect another 2-4mb drop on the next pass. The ERC will happen eventually, but it’s not right now.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded... Maximum Flight Level Wind: 152kts (~ 174.9mph) which was observed 5 nautical miles to the N (358°) from the flight level center at 7:05:00Z Remarks Section - Additional Remarks... SAWTOOTH APPEARANCE AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING PRESENT ALONG NORTHERN EYEWALL
  3. WxWatcher007
    918.9mb extrap
  4. WxWatcher007
    This is probably going to be a really impressive SW to NE pass.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Wilma is one of one.
  6. WxWatcher007
    Keeping in mind the whole SFMR accuracy thing that I discussed last season, but still, very impressive. Would like to see a clean NE—SW pass.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Zero doubt this is a 5 to me. Batch of 143-144 FL and unflagged SFMR of 135, 150, and 159kt.
  8. WxWatcher007
    I don’t think the NHC could pull the trigger on a C5 with that little center data. Recon needs time to confirm imo.
  9. WxWatcher007
    I’m thinking this is probably a 5, but recon needs more time to confirm.
  10. WxWatcher007
    2:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 Location: 16.3°N 77.7°W Moving: W at 5 mph Min pressure: 926 mb Max sustained: 150 mph
  11. WxWatcher007
    923.2mb extrapolated (might not be dead center) Peak FL of 140kt Peak SFMR of 148 SE to NW pass
  12. WxWatcher007
    Well we’re about to find out lol
  13. WxWatcher007
    Total guess, 912mb/145kt (165mph)
  14. WxWatcher007
    I finally got to radar and while the eyewall looks tremendous there is also a huge moat starting to appear.
  15. WxWatcher007
    For posterity
  16. WxWatcher007
    Add this to the list of “what could have been” missions lol Obviously, safety comes first of course.
  17. WxWatcher007
    39 at HFD, 33.4° here at WXW1.
  18. WxWatcher007
  19. WxWatcher007
  20. WxWatcher007
    The only possible saving grace right now is that the satellite hasn’t matched observations, but idk how much longer that can hold.
  21. WxWatcher007
    T 8.0 showing up?
  22. WxWatcher007
    Probably perfect timing. This is peaking in satellite appearance. We’ll see if observational data concurs. Unless there’s a slow ERC or this ticks further west or east than expected, I am finding it increasingly hard to believe there won’t be a category five strike.
  23. WxWatcher007
    Huge burst around the center just now. Yikes.
  24. WxWatcher007
    I was just going to post. Just a big burst around the eye and core in the last few minutes. There is another flight that just took off. It’s heading in at the right time..
  25. WxWatcher007
    11:00 PM EDT Sun Oct 26 Location: 16.3°N 77.5°W Moving: W at 5 mph Min pressure: 933 mb Max sustained: 145 mph
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