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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Models were bad on holding a signal for TC genesis, bad on initially predicting Jerry wouldn’t impact the islands, and then were even worse modeling the environment that led to Jerry’s untimely demise. Rough storm for the guidance on balance.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Looks like a robust wave too. That may be about it for the Atlantic though the GFS wants to develop two waves in the next 10 days. Pretty surprising that nothing has had a chance in the Caribbean or Gulf this season.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Remember that winter a few years ago where it seemed like every good storm track had some weird dual low structure?
  4. WxWatcher007
    Euro flapping around more than a fish out of water
  5. WxWatcher007
    Get well soon
  6. WxWatcher007
    Oh it’s a lot of fun lol
  7. WxWatcher007
    This setup would probably be a disaster in the winter. A weak storm occluding well south of us with persistent easterly flow sounds like marginal temps with a shredded precipitation shield. Maybe the high would save some of us in the forum but idk here in CT.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Jesus, I was just looking back at my winter wx records. No wonder why winter is my least favorite season now. 2014-15: 27.3" (DC) 2015-16: 28.5" (DC) 2016-17: 5.6" (DC) 2017-18: 12.5" (DC) 2018-19: 30.3" (CT) 2019-20: 16.5" (CT) 2020-21: 44.5" (CT) 2021-22: 28.8" (CT) 2022-23: 13.7" (CT) 2023-24: 24.7" (CT) 2024-25: 19.8" (CT) Unmitigated disaster. For the love of God let's turn this around.
  9. WxWatcher007
    That’s why Miller A’s are the gold standard.
  10. WxWatcher007
    30.2° at WXW1 25.7° at WXW2 (SLK reached 19°)
  11. WxWatcher007
    Surprise! Karen is here. Jerry is struggling and MH is looking unlikely, but H is still in the forecast. Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 10 (6) Hurricanes: 6 (3) Major Hurricanes: 3 (2) Fernand, Gabrielle (MH), Humberto (MH), Imelda (H), Jerry, Karen
  12. WxWatcher007
  13. WxWatcher007
    Crazy stuff but yeah, that’s probably a TC or STS.
  14. WxWatcher007
    WXW1 down to 41.8 while HFD is at 48° WXW2 down to 33.3 while SLK is at 27° Yeah, it’s cold up here. Beautiful evening though.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Indeed
  16. WxWatcher007
    Euro is just another model now. Has been for years as you know. Also, hope all is well man. Good to have you back.
  17. WxWatcher007
    There’s apparently a Cape Air (?) commuter flight from SLK to Boston. I wonder what kind of plane they’re using for the 3 people that wanna fly.
  18. WxWatcher007
    That whole GFS run was pretty weenie.
  19. WxWatcher007
    It is happy hour in London.
  20. WxWatcher007
    I feel like I need to find the wx station. I’ve been to the airport it’s tiny.
  21. WxWatcher007
    This will be impactful up and down the east coast. Although it may try to start with some hybrid/tropical characteristics, by the time it’s impacting us it’s a potent nor’easter. Impacts all the same with rain, wind, and possibly significant coastal flooding.
  22. WxWatcher007
    I’m still a little under my numbers for the peak season forecast, but I still think we get something out of the CAG by the 20th. GFS tries to spin something up at 12z. There is an EPS signal too that’s modest.
  23. WxWatcher007
    I tend to be a NHC defender on how they classify things, but the last couple of years have been rough for a few NS they’ve either designated or missed. The 2021 October one, which was later called Subtropical Storm Wanda, was pretty wild. Unnamed and hurricane force gusts on the Cape lol.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Was just going to post. I agree. By the time it’s impacting us it’s a potent nor’easter.
  25. WxWatcher007
    Low of 39.2 at WXW1, which blasted HFD's low of 44. Low of 28.6 at WXW2, which was warmer (as expected) than SLK's low of 23.
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