Torchageddon

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 925 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2019 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Bryan County in southeastern Oklahoma... Eastern Atoka County in southeastern Oklahoma... * Until 1015 PM CDT. * At 925 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located 9 miles southeast of Caney, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

The current map on the front NWS page.

I could be hitting 20C for the first time this year in a few hours, same with the UW station. There are a few more clouds than I anticipated.

If it weren't for the rain and the WF hanging just south Waterloo UW would've gotten to their 5th first 20ºC YTD on April 18 in 21 years. It was close, 19C. Toronto did reach it. What looked to be an awesome day 4-5 days ago was totally ruined here. I also got no thunderstorms as advertised.

Its just like April 29 2014 overnight as there was a powerful supercell near Birmingham AL right about now. Dixie Alley over-performs again.

Yep Texas is the best location for getting good weather (and parts of MX), I did a lot of research in 2017 and that's the recommended location even though I could drive to totality as it overlaps into Ontario.

Not for me though, it was overcast and now today is day 5 of total cloudiness. Anytime someone during February says "well March and April will soon be here and it'll be nice and spring-like" I just chuckle and go "no". The awful weather doesn't end until mid-May usually. If I was 15 miles away from solar eclipse totality I'd crawl to it if I had to.

A classic cloud-filtered sunshine day, with temps under-performing but not as much as Sat. The breeze was up and it wasn't bright out. What was suppose to be an incredible weekend to kick off true spring turned out to be a dud. Now both Monday and Tuesday have been trashed - a fitting winter getaway could only end when April ends.

I was on the "crappy side" this Saturday where temps underperformed and it was pretty much overcast the entire day. Forecast was for 60F and ended up at 50F max instead . In the morning I wasn't getting to the hourly points TWN projected so I knew there was no way 60 or even 55 was happening but instead of lowering the max high they increased it and produced an even larger error. This is the fourth time in 2 months . Just a few weeks ago there appeared to be a rainy day forecast 6-7 days ahead and once the day arrived it was 40% pops both for morning and afternoon. The icon used was rain not cloudy with a chance of showers. The paltry rain was well past pretty much all of southern ON (nothing upstream or any redevelopment) and the forecast remained as stated...not a single drop of rain that day. The same icon and pops was unchanged even at 3:00 pm in the afternoon when it was clear as can be that nothing was coming. A weather forecast point system from the 70s wouldn't be that wrong probably.

I wasn't too pleased with this March but I liked how many sunny days it had for a location close to the lake. Very boring though like most.

Did you ever figure out what the date of that severe thunderstorm event was? Summer 2003 is all I know (I think either in July/August). Those reading from around MI or southern ON know of a prolific lightning producer that period?

This was from the 2018 Spring/Summer Banter thread, did you get anywhere with that? The date was May 12, 2000.

'11-12 was my favorite and the only winter were if I was gone elsewhere I'd be bummed. Now I have colder or average temperatures and the same nothingness that 11-12 had permanently. This February wasn't too bad because there were more sunny days than last year IIRC. In fact sunny days aren't that common in my spot in Feb. I don't like this winter but one major positive I can point to is that there wasn't any super long stretch of dark cloudiness/overcast that challenged my sanity.

Winds were decent but nothing extraordinary up here. My fear of high winds and low snow was verified since major white-out conditions were non-existent during the highest gusts. This morning though our snow really started in earnest but not quite blizzard severity . The best use of this event in SON would be watching the ice shove along the lake shore.

EC "dropping the big hammer" by issuing a blizzard warning for various areas of Midwestern Ontario and the snowbelts: 1:30 PM EST Sunday 24 February 2019 Blizzard warning in effect for: Dangerous snow squalls with blizzard conditions developing later today. Temperatures will plummet through the day behind a strong cold front. Snow squalls will develop later this afternoon and combine with very strong westerly winds with gusts of 90 to 110 km/h to produce near zero visibility at times. The most hazardous conditions are expected tonight, but will improve Monday as winds weaken. It should be emphasized that the most significant aspect of this event will be from the very poor visibility and high winds and not from the snowfall accumulations. Total snowfall accumulations of 5 to 15 cm are likely by Monday. This is only the second time I've been under a blizzard warning since I started following, the other of course during the ultimate winter event of my life on January 6 2014. I don't think it'll be as impressive but the greatest event of the winter is definitely incoming! The winds turned on here about 12:40 pm and they are picking up with howlings just starting. Getting wet snowflakes currently hours ahead of schedule.

My impression is this is underhyped so maybe things are really going to get out of hand later on.

My forecast point has been increased to 10ºC now (up from 4 and recently 8) for this afternoon. That was the plan. I even had the sun brake out for a moment a hour ago.

I do like the CFS trend of putting me right in the transition zone so maybe I can get in on some storm tracks for once. Also would like to have an insane roller coaster where the warmth coming next week doubles and I hit double digit positives and then some huge storm rolls in when the goodness ends. I keep daydreaming about March 2, 2012 for some reason today.

Are electrical power furnaces more common in the Midwest than gas powered? Our hydro rates in Ontario are far too expensive for those to be commonplace.

Nice, there are many sites that have become unbearable that would stand for taking raw data directly off from. If I undertake a forecast accuracy study I'd need to do that.

Absolutely ludicrous. I can't believe that's the HRRR's output. Large cities will be shutdown with that. That's a much colder run than my forecast point for Wednesday morning WC wise. Furnaces will be running continuously.

That product was amazing when it was first rolled out/in beta...that was really an exciting time for my uses in radar. Unfortunately they screwed it up when they finalized it by changing the colour table in such a way that it undermines the dbz rate just at a glance. It was actually a tad in the opposite direction previously but I much preferred that dbz table. I haven't been to Intellicast in a while but I'm surprised to hear they removed that interactive map altogether. I'm surprised it took this long before the corporate ruination took its course. I have no good radar anymore that is free to use as my remaining options are all putrid. Haven't come across any up and coming sites that replace the zombied ones. I bet WU was pretty awesome around 2000 but a few years ago when I was visiting it, an exploit occurred through the browser and put a miner on my machine. Our world is getting dumber.

I don't know if I've seen a slushy day as much as this, after my 6 inches of snow the rapid melt and rain just took walking out of the question. There is borderline flooding in certain low-laying areas. High elevation spots its extremely slippery. I thought today would be a good day to be outside since its going to be the warmest til the end of the month...I rather walk in the cold!

I didn't pay any attention to this system fully expecting a nothing burger. Anything hyped I give less time now if any. I totally ignored everything TWN was showcasing. I'm getting a few flurries from this winter storm and then extreme cold so a lose-lose.

That's a beautiful solution, not ugly! That exact phrase came to mind lol. Not that I disagree though, but I'd bet only a nickel. I'm in one of the snowbelts and there has been absolutely nothing of note this winter or fall. I can't speak for the areas further north but probably average non-dramatic LES. Every winter is a snoozefest here since 2015, zero redeeming factors to this loathsome season. Looking hard enough for something to point out, I have never seen a rapid cycle rollercoaster like this from freeze to thaw.